出口活动、IPO定价过低、长期表现与生存

D. Mauer, Songqi Wang, Xiao Wang, Yilei Zhang
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引用次数: 3

摘要

我们研究了出口活动对首次公开发行(ipo)定价及其ipo后表现和生存的影响。一方面,国外市场业务使公司的收入基础和国内现金流冲击的风险多样化,也可能提供进入国外融资来源的入口。另一方面,出口活动可能带来额外的风险和复杂性,导致IPO定价的更大不确定性。的确,相对于非出口型IPO企业,出口型IPO企业的规模要小得多,按标准衡量风险更大,研发支出也更高。通过对1986 - 2010年4837家IPO公司的样本分析,我们发现在控制了所有已知影响IPO初始收益的因素后,有出口活动的IPO公司的抑价水平显著低于没有出口活动的IPO公司。此外,在IPO后的3年或5年期间,出口IPO公司的风险调整回报率每月比非出口IPO公司高出55 - 122个基点。我们的初始回报和长期回报结果对倾向得分匹配技术具有高度稳健性,这些技术可以解释可能的反向因果关系和选择偏差。最后,我们发现出口型IPO企业的存活率显著高于非出口型IPO企业;IPO前后出口企业的风险率为54% - 71%,不出口企业的风险率为71%。总体而言,我们提供了强有力的证据,证明出口活动对IPO公司的估值和后续业绩具有显著的经济影响。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Export Activity, IPO Underpricing, Long-Run Performance and Survival
We examine the effect of export activity on the pricing of initial public offerings (IPOs) and their post-IPO performance and survival. On the one hand, foreign market operations diversify a firm’s revenue base and the risk of domestic cash flow shocks and may also provide an entree into foreign sources of financing. On the other hand, export activity may bring additional risk and complexity leading to greater uncertainty about the pricing of the IPO. Indeed, relative to non-exporting IPO firms, exporting IPO firms are significantly smaller, are riskier according to standard measures, and have higher expenditures on research and development. Using a sample of 4,837 IPO firms from 1986 to 2010, we find that IPO firms with export activity have a significantly lower level of underpricing than IPO firms without export activity after controlling for all factors known to influence IPO initial returns. In addition, the risk-adjust returns of exporting IPO firms outperform non-exporting IPO firms by 55 - 122 basis points on a monthly basis over either three or five year periods after the IPO. Our initial return and long-run return results are highly robust to propensity score matching techniques which account for possible reversed causality and selection bias. Lastly, we find that exporting IPO firms have significantly higher survival rates than non-exporting IPO firms; the hazard rate of firms that export around IPO years is 54 - 71% of firms that do not export. Overall, we provide strong evidence that export activity has an economically significant effect on the valuation and subsequent performance of IPO firms.
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