{"title":"自适应Metropolis-Hastings随机漫步算法中的加速自适应","authors":"Simon E.F. Spencer","doi":"10.1111/anzs.12344","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<p>The Metropolis–Hastings random walk algorithm remains popular with practitioners due to the wide variety of situations in which it can be successfully applied and the extreme ease with which it can be implemented. Adaptive versions of the algorithm use information from the early iterations of the Markov chain to improve the efficiency of the proposal. The aim of this paper is to reduce the number of iterations needed to adapt the proposal to the target, which is particularly important when the likelihood is time-consuming to evaluate. First, the accelerated shaping algorithm is a generalisation of both the adaptive proposal and adaptive Metropolis algorithms. It is designed to remove, from the estimate of the covariance matrix of the target, misleading information from the start of the chain. Second, the accelerated scaling algorithm rapidly changes the scale of the proposal to achieve a target acceptance rate. The usefulness of these approaches is illustrated with a range of examples.</p>","PeriodicalId":55428,"journal":{"name":"Australian & New Zealand Journal of Statistics","volume":"63 3","pages":"468-484"},"PeriodicalIF":0.8000,"publicationDate":"2021-11-03","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1111/anzs.12344","citationCount":"6","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Accelerating adaptation in the adaptive Metropolis–Hastings random walk algorithm\",\"authors\":\"Simon E.F. Spencer\",\"doi\":\"10.1111/anzs.12344\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"<p>The Metropolis–Hastings random walk algorithm remains popular with practitioners due to the wide variety of situations in which it can be successfully applied and the extreme ease with which it can be implemented. Adaptive versions of the algorithm use information from the early iterations of the Markov chain to improve the efficiency of the proposal. The aim of this paper is to reduce the number of iterations needed to adapt the proposal to the target, which is particularly important when the likelihood is time-consuming to evaluate. First, the accelerated shaping algorithm is a generalisation of both the adaptive proposal and adaptive Metropolis algorithms. It is designed to remove, from the estimate of the covariance matrix of the target, misleading information from the start of the chain. Second, the accelerated scaling algorithm rapidly changes the scale of the proposal to achieve a target acceptance rate. The usefulness of these approaches is illustrated with a range of examples.</p>\",\"PeriodicalId\":55428,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Australian & New Zealand Journal of Statistics\",\"volume\":\"63 3\",\"pages\":\"468-484\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":0.8000,\"publicationDate\":\"2021-11-03\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1111/anzs.12344\",\"citationCount\":\"6\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Australian & New Zealand Journal of Statistics\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"100\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/anzs.12344\",\"RegionNum\":4,\"RegionCategory\":\"数学\",\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"Q3\",\"JCRName\":\"STATISTICS & PROBABILITY\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Australian & New Zealand Journal of Statistics","FirstCategoryId":"100","ListUrlMain":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/anzs.12344","RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"数学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q3","JCRName":"STATISTICS & PROBABILITY","Score":null,"Total":0}
Accelerating adaptation in the adaptive Metropolis–Hastings random walk algorithm
The Metropolis–Hastings random walk algorithm remains popular with practitioners due to the wide variety of situations in which it can be successfully applied and the extreme ease with which it can be implemented. Adaptive versions of the algorithm use information from the early iterations of the Markov chain to improve the efficiency of the proposal. The aim of this paper is to reduce the number of iterations needed to adapt the proposal to the target, which is particularly important when the likelihood is time-consuming to evaluate. First, the accelerated shaping algorithm is a generalisation of both the adaptive proposal and adaptive Metropolis algorithms. It is designed to remove, from the estimate of the covariance matrix of the target, misleading information from the start of the chain. Second, the accelerated scaling algorithm rapidly changes the scale of the proposal to achieve a target acceptance rate. The usefulness of these approaches is illustrated with a range of examples.
期刊介绍:
The Australian & New Zealand Journal of Statistics is an international journal managed jointly by the Statistical Society of Australia and the New Zealand Statistical Association. Its purpose is to report significant and novel contributions in statistics, ranging across articles on statistical theory, methodology, applications and computing. The journal has a particular focus on statistical techniques that can be readily applied to real-world problems, and on application papers with an Australasian emphasis. Outstanding articles submitted to the journal may be selected as Discussion Papers, to be read at a meeting of either the Statistical Society of Australia or the New Zealand Statistical Association.
The main body of the journal is divided into three sections.
The Theory and Methods Section publishes papers containing original contributions to the theory and methodology of statistics, econometrics and probability, and seeks papers motivated by a real problem and which demonstrate the proposed theory or methodology in that situation. There is a strong preference for papers motivated by, and illustrated with, real data.
The Applications Section publishes papers demonstrating applications of statistical techniques to problems faced by users of statistics in the sciences, government and industry. A particular focus is the application of newly developed statistical methodology to real data and the demonstration of better use of established statistical methodology in an area of application. It seeks to aid teachers of statistics by placing statistical methods in context.
The Statistical Computing Section publishes papers containing new algorithms, code snippets, or software descriptions (for open source software only) which enhance the field through the application of computing. Preference is given to papers featuring publically available code and/or data, and to those motivated by statistical methods for practical problems.