广义Thurstone法在体育赛事结果评价中的应用

É. Orbán-Mihálykó, C. Mihálykó, László Gyarmati
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引用次数: 4

摘要

由于因新冠肺炎疫情而取消比赛,通常对比赛结果的评估存在偏见。默认赢得的比赛可能会导致不现实的结果。本文采用了一种方便的方法,即对两个以上选项的Thurstone方法的推广。它能够在不需要相等比赛数量的情况下评估比赛结果。这种方法也考虑了对手的力量。本文将该方法应用于手球冠军联赛的成绩评价。我们举例说明,它可以有效地预测未来的结果。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Application of the Generalized Thurstone Method for Evaluations of Sports Tournaments’ Results
Due to the non-played matches on the grounds of COVID-19 pandemics, the usual evaluation of the results of tournaments is biased. Matches won by default may cause unrealistic results. In this paper, an expedient method, the generalization of Thurstone method for more than two options, is applied. It is able to evaluate the results of the played matches without requiring equal matches’ numbers. This method takes the strength of the opposer into consideration as well. We apply the method for evaluating Handball Champions’ League’s results. We illustrate that it efficiently predicts the results in the future.
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