家庭消费保险估算

A. Chatterjee, J. Morley, Aarti Singh
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引用次数: 2

摘要

Blundell, Pistaferri和Preston(《美国经济评论》,2008,98(5),1887-1921)报告了家庭消费保险对永久收入冲击的估计为36%。它们的估计精度不高,对GMM的加权方案不具有鲁棒性。我们建议使用拟最大似然估计(QMLE)。它得出了一个更精确、高得多的消费保险估计值,为55%。对于按年龄和教育程度划分的子群体,估算值之间的差异甚至更为明显。非正态冲击的蒙特卡罗实验表明,QMLE比GMM更准确。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Estimating Household Consumption Insurance
Blundell, Pistaferri, and Preston (American Economic Review, 2008, 98(5), 1887-1921) report an estimate of household consumption insurance with respect to permanent income shocks of 36%. Their estimate is imprecise and not robust to weighting scheme for GMM. We propose instead to use quasi maximum likelihood estimation (QMLE). It produces a more precise and significantly higher estimate of consumption insurance at 55%. For sub-groups by age and education, the differences between estimates are even more pronounced. Monte Carlo experiments with non-Normal shocks demonstrate that QMLE is more accurate than GMM.
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