使用迁移学习对CoVID-19传播的未来评估:疫苗接种后情景

Sunitha Devi Bigul, A. Prakash, J. S. Bhanu
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引用次数: 0

摘要

冠状病毒(CoVID)已像野火一样在全球蔓延,遏制这一疾病的措施仍在制定中。随着CoVID - 19疫苗的上市,有必要在全球范围内观察这种疫苗接种的效果。与此同时,了解疫苗接种后CoVID的传播趋势至关重要,这将有助于各国政府在可能再次传播CoVID的地区部署疫苗接种中心。为了解决这一问题,本文提出了一种新的迁移学习方法。这一方法借鉴了目前观察到的CoVID的传播模式,并将其与政府在上一次1918年西班牙流感大流行期间采取的疫苗接种措施联系起来。对西班牙流感疫苗接种后再次传播的分析支持了这种联系。为了开发有效的预测系统,将联动信息赋给迁移学习系统。该系统能够有效预测疫苗接种后CoVID - 19的传播。由于没有任何类似的先前开发的架构,与1918年西班牙流感疫苗接种后的传播数据进行了比较,观察到准确率超过80%。©2021作者。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Futuristic evaluation of CoVID-19 spread using transfer learning: A post vaccination scenario
Corona virus (CoVID) has spread like wild-fire across the globe, and measures to curb this disease are still under development. With vaccination of CoVID coming to market, it is necessary to observe the effects of this vaccination on the global scale. Along with this observation it is essential to understand the spreading trend of CoVID post vaccination, which will help Governments to deploy vaccination centres in the areas where CoVID might re-spread. In order to solve this issue, the underlying text proposes a novel transfer learning approach. This approach learns from the spreading patterns of CoVID which are being currently observed, and links it with the vaccination measures taken by the Government during the previous Spanish Influenza pandemic of 1918. This linkage is backed up by the analysis of re-spreading of Spanish Influenza post its vaccination. In order to develop an effective prediction system, the linkage information is given to a transfer learning system. This system enables effective prediction of post vaccination CoVID spread. Due to unavailability of any similar previously developed architecture, the comparison is made with the post-vaccination spread data for Spanish Influenza in 1918, and an accuracy of more than 80% is observed. © 2021 Author(s).
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