低风速下威布尔分布参数计算及性能分析

IF 1 4区 工程技术 Q4 ENERGY & FUELS
Y. Kaplan
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引用次数: 7

摘要

本文研究了平均风速势较低地区的实际风能势与威布尔分布函数(WDF)估计的风能势的相容性。本研究的主要目的是检验用于寻找WDF系数的六种不同方法的性能,并确定选定区域的最佳性能方法。在本研究中,使用了从该地区气象总局获得的7年每小时风速数据。采用均方根误差(RMSE)统计指标比较各方法的效率。本研究的另一个主要目的是观察所使用的方法的性能如何随着时间的推移而变化。所得结果表明,所用方法的性能在多年间略有变化,但在总体上进行评价时,观察到所有方法的性能都是可以接受的。根据得到的结果,当选取该区域的7年数据进行评价时,可以说MM方法表现出最好的性能。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Calculation of Weibull Distribution parameters at low wind speed and performance analysis
In this study, the compatibility of the real wind energy potential to the estimated wind energy potential by Weibull Distribution Function (WDF) of a region with low average wind speed potential was examined. The main purpose of this study is to examine the performance of six different methods used to find the coefficients of the WDF and to determine the best performing method for selected region. In this study seven-year hourly wind speed data obtained from the general directorate of meteorology of this region was used. The root mean square error (RMSE) statistical indicator was used to compare the efficiency of all used methods. Another main purpose of this study is to observe the how the performance of the used methods changes over the years. The obtained results showed that the performances of the used methods showed slight changes over the years, but when evaluated in general, it was observed that all method showed acceptable performance. Based on the obtained results, when the seven-year data is evaluated in this selected region, it can be said that the MM method shows the best performance.
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来源期刊
CiteScore
3.00
自引率
18.20%
发文量
35
期刊介绍: Energy addresses the challenges of energy engineering in the 21st century. The journal publishes groundbreaking papers on energy provision by leading figures in industry and academia and provides a unique forum for discussion on everything from underground coal gasification to the practical implications of biofuels. The journal is a key resource for engineers and researchers working to meet the challenges of energy engineering. Topics addressed include: development of sustainable energy policy, energy efficiency in buildings, infrastructure and transport systems, renewable energy sources, operation and decommissioning of projects, and energy conservation.
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