巴西的COVID-19危机与逆周期政策

Pub Date : 2021-09-23 DOI:10.4337/ejeep.2021.02.06
De Paula
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引用次数: 4

摘要

本文考察了2019冠状病毒病大流行期间的巴西经济,以及2020年为应对经济和社会危机而实施的经济政策。本文利用第一手资料和第二手资料进行分析,其分析不同于其他非正统方法,这些方法认为巴西应对大流行病危机的国家行动薄弱且不一致。有人认为,反周期行动,特别是与紧急援助有关的行动,对经济和减少贫穷和社会不平等产生了强大的反周期作用,尽管联邦政府以前没有协调过任何战略。文章的结论是,巴西经济前景不佳与正统政策的恢复和第二波COVID-19大流行的爆发有关,两者都导致巴西经济复苏缓慢。
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The COVID-19 crisis and counter-cyclical policies in Brazil
This paper examines the Brazilian economy during the COVID-19 pandemic and the economic policies implemented in 2020 to address the economic and social crisis. Using primary and secondary sources, the article differs in its analysis from other heterodox approaches according to which state action in response to the pandemic crisis in Brazil was weak and inconsistent. It is argued that counter-cyclical actions, especially those relating to emergency aid, have had a strong counter-cyclical effect on the economy and on reducing poverty and social inequality, even though there was no strategy previously coordinated by the federal government. The article concludes that the poor outlook for the Brazilian economy relates to both the resumption of orthodox policies and the unleashing of a second wave of the COVID-19 pandemic, both contributing to a slow recovery of the Brazilian economy.
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