匈牙利致力于加强与东南亚的经济关系,重点是与越南建立新的伙伴关系

Kozár László, Neszmélyi György Iván
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引用次数: 2

摘要

除了对东盟区域各国之间的经济一体化进程进行简要审查之外,本研究报告的作者还旨在审查和分析匈牙利-东盟关系的主要经济、社会和政治特征。匈牙利政府认为改善与亚洲经济体的对外经济关系非常重要,这一事实强调了本研究主题的重要性。2012年,中国政府宣布了一项新的对外经济战略——“东方开放”,表达了这一意图,尽管到目前为止,对外贸易统计数据还不足以证明该战略的成功。作者认为,加大对亚洲的开放有利于匈牙利的经济利益。因此,这是一个正确和可取的方向,他们认为,在适度结果的背景下,可能是对市场机制、当地供应链的行动者和潜在合作伙伴的认识不足。他们认为,为了使匈牙利在这方面的对外经济努力更加成功,有必要更彻底地审查当地的特点- -包括在目标市场上产生的实际需求。这种观点不仅在中国、印度和日本等亚洲“巨人”中普遍存在,而且在像东盟成员国这样的小国中也很普遍,这些国家在人口和经济表现方面合在一起,也达到了经济大国的水平。此外,东南亚十国的一体化发展迅速,这与它们在世界贸易中的重要性日益增加有关。东盟区域经济和社会的蓬勃发展- -以及与此同时日益增长的需求和购买力- -可能在理论上鼓励匈牙利的冒险。然而,仍然有很少的匈牙利企业家,他们准备进入该地区的市场,并能够长期在那里成功地经营。众所周知的事实是,自从匈牙利政权更迭以来,对外贸易强烈集中于欧盟成员国。由于地理距离和其他原因,东盟国家绝对不能成为欧盟市场的替代品,但在某种程度上,它们可以缓解这种片面的集中,并可能为匈牙利出口商品提供额外的机会,而不是匈牙利服务和技术的出口。目前,东盟区域在整个匈牙利外贸总额中所占的比例很小,而且- -根据统计数字- -该区域是匈牙利的一个进口资源,而不是一个出口市场。这一事实本身不应被视为问题。当进口量超过出口量时,这意味着与这些国家的供应商做生意比与其他国家做生意更有价值。总的来说,这一切在农业贸易领域也很普遍:匈牙利进口一系列国内农民或欧洲无法生产的商品(香料、热带水果等)。很明显,东盟地区不可能成为匈牙利农产品出口的主要市场,即使从长远来看也是如此。然而,在这个地理区域内,扩大货物和服务的周转以及加强合作仍有很多机会。在最后一章中,作者概述了越南的一个例子——农产品联合公共仓储的合作——这可能是一个很好的例子,说明有希望的潜在机会。与大多数东盟国家不同,匈牙利-越南的政治和经济关系在匈牙利政权更迭之前就开始了。然而,这一事实所带来的潜在优势——在匈牙利毕业的越南专业人员的关系网和同情,匈牙利农产品和技术的声誉和知名度,农业领域的研究和发展成果——不能从匈牙利方面得到利用。越南虽然仍然保留了社会主义的政治体制,但在经济发展战略和经济政策上逐渐站在了市场导向的基础上。拥有9000万人口的越南显示出快速和成功的发展,这对匈牙利企业家来说也意味着很好的机会。不利用这些潜力将是一个错误。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Hungarian endeavours for the enhancement of economic relations in Southeast Asia focusing on a new partnership with Vietnam
Beyond a brief review of the economic integration process among the states of the ASEAN region, the authors of the present study aimed to examine and analyze the main economic, social and political characteristics of the Hungaro-ASEAN relations. The importance of the topic of this research is underlined by the fact that the Hungarian government considers big importance to the improvement of the foreign economic relations with Asian economies. This intention was expressed by a new foreign economic strategy „Eastern opening” announced by the government in 2012, even though the foreign trade statistical figures did not justify its success by now. The authors believe that increasing opening towards Asia serves Hungarian economic interests. Therefore, it is a right and desirable direction to proceed, they consider that in the background of the modest results there might be the insufficient knowledge of the market mechanisms, the actors of the local supply chains and the potential partners. They believe that in order to make the Hungarian foreign economic endeavours in this direction more successful a more thorough examination of the local characteristics – including the actual demand arising at the targeted markets - is necessary. This opinion is prevalent to not only the Asian „Giants”, like China, India and Japan, but also to smaller states, like the ASEAN members, which – together - in terms of population and economic performance – reach the dimensions of an economic great power as well. Furthermore, the integration of the ten Southeast Asian countries develops rapidly, which is coupled by their increasing weight in the world trade. The dynamic economic and social development in the ASEAN region – and in parallel with this the growing demands and purchasing power - may encourage the Hungarian ventures in theory. However, there are still very few Hungarian entrepreneurs, who are ready to enter the market in the region and able in long run to operate there successfully. It is a well-known fact that the since the regime has changed in Hungary, foreign trade became strongly concentrated towards the EU members. The ASEAN countries – because of the geographic distance and by other reasons - definitely cannot mean an alternative of the EU market, however in a certain extent they can relieve this one-sided concentration and may provide additional opportunities for the Hungarian export of goods, and rather to the export of Hungarian services and know-how. The ratio of the ASEAN region within the entire Hungarian foreign trade turnover is small nowadays, furthermore – according to the statistical figures – this region is rather an import resource for Hungary than being an export market. This fact – just itself – is should not be considered as problem. When the amount of the import exceeds the amount of exports, that means that it is more worthwhile to do business with suppliers from there countries than with others. By and large all this is prevalent to the field of the agricultural trade as well: Hungary imports a range of commodities which cannot be produced by domestic farmers or in Europe (spices, tropical fruits, etc.). It is obvious that the ASEAN region cannot be the major market for the Hungarian agricultural export, not even in long run. However, there are still a lot of opportunities to enlarge the turnover of goods and services and enhance the co-operation in this geographic region. In the last chapter, the authors outlined an example in case of Vietnam – co-operation of joint public warehousing of agricultural commodities – which may be a good example for the promising potential opportunities. In contrast with the majority of the ASEAN countries, the Hungaro-Vietnamese political and economic relations had started much earlier than the regime was changed in Hungary. However, the potential advantages arose from this fact – the network of connections and the sympathy of Vietnamese professionals graduated in Hungary, the reputation and popularity of Hungarian agricultural products and technologies, the achievements of R&D in the field of agriculture – could not be utilized from Hungarian side. Vietnam, however still preserved its socialist political establishment, but in terms of its economic development strategy and economic policy has gradually been standing on the basis of market orientation. Vietnam, with its population of ninety million shows a rapid and successful development and it means good opportunities even for Hungarian entrepreneurs. It would be a mistake to leave these potentials unused.
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