在冶金企业使用和改进生产数学建模系统的经验

А. S. Leont’ev, I. Rybenko
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引用次数: 0

摘要

由于世界贸易的发展,冶金厂在制定生产计划方面有很大的可变性。在EVRAZ西西伯利亚冶金联合公司(JSC“EVRAZ ZSMK”),炉料仅在团聚和高炉生产方面从110个组成部分进行了优化。产品范围包括2000多个单位,每月都在变化。通常,生产计划只在个别的再开发中优化。优化的目的是使转化成本最小化,使产量最大化。本文以JSC“EVRAZ ZSMK”为例,介绍了整个冶金厂生产数学建模系统的开发与实现。与现有的转换建模系统相比,该系统的目标是对所有工厂的转换进行一次性的端到端优化。最终目标是使整个工厂的利润最大化。在2019 - 2020年新系统运行期间,用户在工作过程中发现人工成本较高。例如,为年度60个计划的发布和30个经济案例的计算执行了超过10,000次的计算迭代测试。提出并分析了一种工作统计形式,主要存在以下问题:由于输入数学上不正确的数据,导致模型无法求解;重复计算经济案例,从预算中分离和解释计划的个别变化因素;在数据验证阶段,由于元素的化学成分不正确或特定工作时期的模型设置不正确而导致的错误。为消除系统的不足,开发了计算前后阶段输入数据验证系统、灵敏度分析与因子计算模块和化学成分自动填充系统。同时增加了对历史数据进行再训练的可能性。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Experience in using and improving the usability of mathematical modeling system of production at a metallurgical enterprise
Due to the world trade development, metallurgical plants have a great variability in preparation of the production plan. At EVRAZ West Siberian Metallurgical Combine JSC (JSC “EVRAZ ZSMK”), the charge is optimized from 110 components only in terms of agglomeration and blast furnace production. The product range consists of more than 2000 units and varies from month to month. Usually, the production plan is optimized only within individual redevelopments. The purpose of optimization is to minimize the cost of conversion and to maximize production. The article describes development and implementation of a mathematical modeling system of production of the entire metallurgical plant on the example of JSC “EVRAZ ZSMK”. In contrast to the existing conversion modeling systems, the goal of the system is a one-time end-to-end optimization of all the plant’s conversions. The ultimate goal is to maximize the profit of the entire plant. During the operation of the new system in 2019 – 2020, high labor costs were found during the work of the users. For example, more than 10,000 test iterations of calculations were performed for the release of 60 plans for the year and calculation of 30 economic cases. A form of work statistics was developed and analyzed, which showed the following main problems: unsolvability of the model due to the input of mathematically incorrect data; repeated calculations of economic cases to isolate and interpret individual changed factors of the plan from the budget; errors at the data verification stage due to incorrect chemical composition of elements or incorrect model settings for a specific period of work. To eliminate the shortcomings of the system, the authors developed the validation systems for input data at the stage before and after calculations, sensitivity analysis and factor calculation modules and automatic chemical composition filling system. Also the possibility of retraining the model on historical data was added.
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