2007年经济普查单一企业收益模型

Emin M. Dinlersoz, Shawn D. Klimek
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引用次数: 0

摘要

经济普查是美国人口普查局开展的最重要的活动之一。它对于更新人口普查局商业登记簿中大量企业的公司所有权/结构和行业信息至关重要,影响到大多数其他经济计划。此外,它还会被输入到美国经济分析局(Bureau of Economic Analysis)的产品中,比如基准投入产出账户和国内生产总值(gdp)。2007年经济普查的总体登记率刚刚超过86%。由多家公司拥有的企业上交了超过90%的表格,而在人口普查中抽样的大约200万家单一企业上交了超过80%的表格。我们通过使用大量可能与公司是否在经济普查中返回表格相关的变量来模拟单一公司的签到率。这些变量大致分为公司的特征、外部因素的测量和调查设计的特征。我们使用这个模型有两个目的。首先,通过纳入许多可能与回报相关的因素,我们的目标是将有限的广告和外展资源集中在低回报的人群上。其次,我们使用该模型来调查期望提高退货率的计划外干预的有效性:对其中一种形式的跟进使用认证邮件。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Modeling Single Establishment Firm Returns to the 2007 Economic Census
The Economic Census is one of the most important activities that the U.S. Census Bureau performs. It is critical for updating firm ownership/structure and industry information for a large number of businesses in the Census Bureau’s Business Register, impacting most other economic programs. Also, it feeds into Bureau of Economic Analysis products, such as benchmark inputoutput accounts and Gross Domestic Product. The overall check-in rate for the 2007 Economic Census was just over 86%. Establishments owned by multi-location companies returned over 90% of their forms, as compared to the roughly two million single-establishment firms sampled in the Census that returned just over 80%. We model the check-in rate for single-establishment firms by using a large number of variables that might be correlated with whether or not a firm returns a form in the Economic Census. These variables are broadly categorized as the characteristics of firms, measures of external factors, and features of the survey design. We use the model for two purposes. First, by including many of the factors that may be correlated with returns we aim to focus limited advertising and outreach resources to low-return segments of the population. Second, we use the model to investigate the efficacy of an unplanned intervention expected to increase return rates: using certified mailing for one of the form follow-ups.
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