新推出的日元期货合约的套期保值效果

Won-Cheol Yun
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摘要

虽然韩日两国的地区关系密切,贸易活跃,但对韩元和日元汇率风险的实证分析却很少。最近,韩国证券交易所(KRX)推出了日元期货合约。本研究的主要目的是检验这种外汇套期保值工具的套期保值绩效。本研究建立了直接对冲和交叉对冲两种资本投资对冲方案的理论框架。仿真结果表明,1:1的均值和最小方差对冲策略优于无对冲策略。在降低风险方面,最小方差套期保值被认为略微优于1:1的na ~‡ve套期保值。更重要的是,直接对冲策略的套期保值绩效甚至优于交叉对冲策略。直接套期保值与交叉套期保值表现的差异将被视为引入日元期货合约的影响。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
The hedging effectiveness of newly introduced yen currency futures contract
Despite of regional closeness and active trading between Korea and Japan, there is little empirical analysis on the foreign exchange risk of Korean won and Japanese yen. Recently, the Korea Exchange (KRX) has introduced a Japanese yen currency futures contract. The main objective of this study is to examine the hedging performance of this foreign exchange hedging tool. This study sets up a theoretical framework for capital investment hedging schemes with direct and cross hedge types. According to the simulation results, the 1:1 na˜‡ve and the minimum variance hedge strategies outperform no-hedge strategy. With respect to risk reduction, the minimum variance hedge is considered to be marginally superior to the 1:1 na˜‡ve hedge. More importantly, the hedging performances of direct hedge strategies prove to be even better than those of cross hedge strategies. The difierences in the hedging performances between direct and cross hedges would be regarded as the efiects of introducing Japanese yen currency futures contract.
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