SARS-CoV-2大流行模拟的分区建模

Weishan Li
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引用次数: 0

摘要

在本文中,我们简要探讨了流行的基于sir的区室模型的历史起源和应用,特别是对正在进行的SARS-CoV-2流行的建模。我们讨论了早期区室模型的出现以及从特定研究中衍生出的sir变体。具体而言,我们讨论了在SEIR和SVIR模型等sir变体中添加专门隔室在建模疾病潜伏期和疫苗接种效果方面的优势,以及以已发表的同行评审的SARS-CoV-2流行研究为例,讨论了这些模型的应用和扩展。最后,我们简要介绍了区室模型和潜在替代方法的局限性。©2022作者。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Compartmental modeling for SARS-CoV-2 pandemic simulation
In this article, we briefly explored the historical origin and applications of popular SIR-based compartmental models, especially on the modelling of the on-going SARS-CoV-2 epidemic. We discussed the emergence of the early compartmental models as well as the derivation of SIR-variants from specific studies. Specifically, we discussed the advantages of the addition of specialized compartments in SIR-variants like the SEIR and SVIR model in the modelling of disease latency and effect of vaccination, as well as the application and expansion of these models using published peer-reviewed studies on the SARS-CoV-2 epidemic as instances. Lastly, we briefly went over the limitations of compartmental models and potential substitution approaches. © 2022 Author(s).
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