决策过程中的偏见和克服它们的可能性

Q3 Economics, Econometrics and Finance
J. Nikolić
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引用次数: 10

摘要

从规范的方法出发,作为决策过程的结果的决策应该是一个完全知情的决策者做出的理性选择。随着决策过程行为观的发展,人们注意到决策者的某些行为错误,这些错误是由于决策者的认知能力有限和信息不对称造成的。启发式作为一种简化的心理策略的应用,以及决策者思维和感知的某些变形,导致不同的偏见,影响他们解决问题的态度和方法。这项研究的目的反映在确定决策过程中最常发生的偏见,以及它们的原因和后果。本研究的定性方法与分析与综合、演绎与归纳法等相关方法并行应用。在实证研究的基础上,提出了克服偏见的建议,这是本研究的主要成果。在克服偏见的可能性方面得出的结论可以帮助决策者在实际情况下改进决策过程。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Biases in the decision-making process and possibilities of overcoming them
Starting from the normative approach, a decision as the outcome of the decision-making process should represent a rational choice made by a completely informed decision-maker. With the development of the behavioral perspective of the decision-making process, certain mistakes in decision-makers' behavior have been noticed, emerging as a consequence of their limited cognitive capacities and the information asymmetry. The application of heuristics as simplified mental strategies, as well as certain deformations in decision-makers' thinking and perception, leads to the different biases that affect their attitudes and approach to problem solving. The aim of the research study is reflected in identifying the biases that most often occur in the decision-making process, as well as their causes and consequences. The qualitative methodology of the research has been applied in parallel with the relevant methods of analysis and synthesis, deduction and induction. On the basis of the conducted empirical studies, the recommendations for overcoming biases have been defined, which represents the main result of the research study. The derived conclusions with respect to the possibilities of overcoming biases can help decision-makers to improve the decision-making process in real situations.
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来源期刊
Economic Horizons
Economic Horizons Business, Management and Accounting-Business, Management and Accounting (all)
CiteScore
1.00
自引率
0.00%
发文量
7
审稿时长
8 weeks
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