叙利亚难民对本地家庭形成的影响:土耳其的婚姻和离婚趋势

IF 0.1 Q4 SOCIAL SCIENCES, INTERDISCIPLINARY
Abdullah Selim Öztek
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引用次数: 0

摘要

在叙利亚内战之后,土耳其面临着大规模的难民潮,使土耳其成为世界上最大的难民收容国。除了这些难民人口的经济负担外,各种实地调查显示,土耳其公民对难民有一些负面看法。对难民的主要关切之一是他们可能通过影响婚姻和离婚率对当地家庭的形成产生影响。本研究通过比较土耳其不同地理区域的趋势,考察了叙利亚难民对家庭形成的影响。虽然边境城市和相对发达的城市收容了大量叙利亚人,但很少有叙利亚人生活在边境以外的城市。通过进行空间分析,该研究检查了难民高度集中的城市与难民较少的城市相比,离婚率/结婚率是否有变化。考虑到难民的内生区位选择,本文提出了一种基于距离的工具来克服差异中的差异环境下的内生性问题。结果表明,难民不影响现有的离婚率和离婚案件的趋势。然而,对正式婚姻的不利影响有限。难民比例每增加1%,官方婚姻就会减少0.03%。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Effect of Syrian Refugees on Native Family Formation: Marriage and Divorce Trends in Turkey
After the civil war in Syria, Turkey faced a massive refugee wave, making Turkey the top refugee-hosting country in the world. Besides the economic burden of this refugee population, various field surveys reveal that Turkish citizens have some negative perceptions about the refugees. One of the leading concerns on refugees is their possible effects on native family formation by affecting marriage and divorce rates. This study examines the effect of the Syrian refugees on family formation by comparing the trends in different geographical areas of Turkey. While border cities and relatively developed cities host a significant number of Syrians, there are few Syrians living in cities away from the border. By conducting spatial analysis, the study checks whether there is a change in divorce/marriage rates in cities with a high concentration of refugees compared to cities with fewer refugees. By considering the endogenous location choice of the refugees, the study proposes a distance-based instrument to overcome the endogeneity problem in a Difference-in-Differences setting. Results indicate that the refugees do not affect the existing trends in divorce rates and divorce cases. However, there is a limited adverse impact on official marriages. A 1% increase in the refugee ratio corresponds to a 0.03% reduction in official marriages.
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来源期刊
Insan & Toplum-The Journal of Humanity & Society
Insan & Toplum-The Journal of Humanity & Society SOCIAL SCIENCES, INTERDISCIPLINARY-
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发文量
45
审稿时长
12 weeks
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