{"title":"墨西哥城的行人死亡率:有限理性视角下的一般分析","authors":"Ramiro Flores-Xolocotzi","doi":"10.47386/vol1num1art5_21","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"Considering a theoretical perspective of bounded rationality of drivers and pedestrians in pedestrian collisions, a research was carried out about pedes-trian lethality rate in Mexico City considering attribu-table causes to persons or other causes, place (intersections and non-intersections of roads), time of the day, day, month, local municipalities and year of the accident from 1997 to 2017. To the analysis was estimated a Generalized Poisson Model. With the model results, the relative risk of pedestrian death after being run over was analyzed. There are three remarkable results: Lethality and relative risk of deaths increased due to non-attributable causes of the agents. Secondly, that lethality is higher in non-intersections and that the relative risk of deaths in intersections is lower in percentage terms concer-ning non-intersections. Third, that lethality and the relative risk of deaths are greater in attributable causes of pedestrians than in attributable causes of drivers. These results may constitute part of the un-certainty and information constraints that describe bounded rationality. The conclusion is that crossing pedestrians at non-interference crossings can in-crease lethality and increase death's relative risk. Also, it was observed that causes unrelated to agent’s actions (pedestrians and drivers) cause mo-re pedestrian deaths.","PeriodicalId":52035,"journal":{"name":"Astrolabio-Nueva Epoca","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":0.1000,"publicationDate":"2021-09-10","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Letalidad peatonal en Ciudad de México: análisis general desde una perspectiva de racionalidad limitada\",\"authors\":\"Ramiro Flores-Xolocotzi\",\"doi\":\"10.47386/vol1num1art5_21\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"Considering a theoretical perspective of bounded rationality of drivers and pedestrians in pedestrian collisions, a research was carried out about pedes-trian lethality rate in Mexico City considering attribu-table causes to persons or other causes, place (intersections and non-intersections of roads), time of the day, day, month, local municipalities and year of the accident from 1997 to 2017. To the analysis was estimated a Generalized Poisson Model. With the model results, the relative risk of pedestrian death after being run over was analyzed. There are three remarkable results: Lethality and relative risk of deaths increased due to non-attributable causes of the agents. Secondly, that lethality is higher in non-intersections and that the relative risk of deaths in intersections is lower in percentage terms concer-ning non-intersections. Third, that lethality and the relative risk of deaths are greater in attributable causes of pedestrians than in attributable causes of drivers. These results may constitute part of the un-certainty and information constraints that describe bounded rationality. The conclusion is that crossing pedestrians at non-interference crossings can in-crease lethality and increase death's relative risk. Also, it was observed that causes unrelated to agent’s actions (pedestrians and drivers) cause mo-re pedestrian deaths.\",\"PeriodicalId\":52035,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Astrolabio-Nueva Epoca\",\"volume\":null,\"pages\":null},\"PeriodicalIF\":0.1000,\"publicationDate\":\"2021-09-10\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Astrolabio-Nueva Epoca\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"1085\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://doi.org/10.47386/vol1num1art5_21\",\"RegionNum\":0,\"RegionCategory\":null,\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"Q4\",\"JCRName\":\"SOCIAL SCIENCES, INTERDISCIPLINARY\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Astrolabio-Nueva Epoca","FirstCategoryId":"1085","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.47386/vol1num1art5_21","RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":null,"ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q4","JCRName":"SOCIAL SCIENCES, INTERDISCIPLINARY","Score":null,"Total":0}
Letalidad peatonal en Ciudad de México: análisis general desde una perspectiva de racionalidad limitada
Considering a theoretical perspective of bounded rationality of drivers and pedestrians in pedestrian collisions, a research was carried out about pedes-trian lethality rate in Mexico City considering attribu-table causes to persons or other causes, place (intersections and non-intersections of roads), time of the day, day, month, local municipalities and year of the accident from 1997 to 2017. To the analysis was estimated a Generalized Poisson Model. With the model results, the relative risk of pedestrian death after being run over was analyzed. There are three remarkable results: Lethality and relative risk of deaths increased due to non-attributable causes of the agents. Secondly, that lethality is higher in non-intersections and that the relative risk of deaths in intersections is lower in percentage terms concer-ning non-intersections. Third, that lethality and the relative risk of deaths are greater in attributable causes of pedestrians than in attributable causes of drivers. These results may constitute part of the un-certainty and information constraints that describe bounded rationality. The conclusion is that crossing pedestrians at non-interference crossings can in-crease lethality and increase death's relative risk. Also, it was observed that causes unrelated to agent’s actions (pedestrians and drivers) cause mo-re pedestrian deaths.