墨西哥城的行人死亡率:有限理性视角下的一般分析

IF 0.1 Q4 SOCIAL SCIENCES, INTERDISCIPLINARY
Ramiro Flores-Xolocotzi
{"title":"墨西哥城的行人死亡率:有限理性视角下的一般分析","authors":"Ramiro Flores-Xolocotzi","doi":"10.47386/vol1num1art5_21","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"Considering a theoretical perspective of bounded rationality of drivers and pedestrians in pedestrian collisions, a research was carried out about pedes-trian lethality rate in Mexico City considering attribu-table causes to persons or other causes, place (intersections and non-intersections of roads), time of the day, day, month, local municipalities and year of the accident from 1997 to 2017. To the analysis was estimated a Generalized Poisson Model. With the model results, the relative risk of pedestrian death after being run over was analyzed. There are three remarkable results: Lethality and relative risk of deaths increased due to non-attributable causes of the agents. Secondly, that lethality is higher in non-intersections and that the relative risk of deaths in intersections is lower in percentage terms concer-ning non-intersections. Third, that lethality and the relative risk of deaths are greater in attributable causes of pedestrians than in attributable causes of drivers. These results may constitute part of the un-certainty and information constraints that describe bounded rationality. The conclusion is that crossing pedestrians at non-interference crossings can in-crease lethality and increase death's relative risk. Also, it was observed that causes unrelated to agent’s actions (pedestrians and drivers) cause mo-re pedestrian deaths.","PeriodicalId":52035,"journal":{"name":"Astrolabio-Nueva Epoca","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":0.1000,"publicationDate":"2021-09-10","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Letalidad peatonal en Ciudad de México: análisis general desde una perspectiva de racionalidad limitada\",\"authors\":\"Ramiro Flores-Xolocotzi\",\"doi\":\"10.47386/vol1num1art5_21\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"Considering a theoretical perspective of bounded rationality of drivers and pedestrians in pedestrian collisions, a research was carried out about pedes-trian lethality rate in Mexico City considering attribu-table causes to persons or other causes, place (intersections and non-intersections of roads), time of the day, day, month, local municipalities and year of the accident from 1997 to 2017. To the analysis was estimated a Generalized Poisson Model. With the model results, the relative risk of pedestrian death after being run over was analyzed. There are three remarkable results: Lethality and relative risk of deaths increased due to non-attributable causes of the agents. Secondly, that lethality is higher in non-intersections and that the relative risk of deaths in intersections is lower in percentage terms concer-ning non-intersections. Third, that lethality and the relative risk of deaths are greater in attributable causes of pedestrians than in attributable causes of drivers. These results may constitute part of the un-certainty and information constraints that describe bounded rationality. The conclusion is that crossing pedestrians at non-interference crossings can in-crease lethality and increase death's relative risk. Also, it was observed that causes unrelated to agent’s actions (pedestrians and drivers) cause mo-re pedestrian deaths.\",\"PeriodicalId\":52035,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Astrolabio-Nueva Epoca\",\"volume\":null,\"pages\":null},\"PeriodicalIF\":0.1000,\"publicationDate\":\"2021-09-10\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Astrolabio-Nueva Epoca\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"1085\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://doi.org/10.47386/vol1num1art5_21\",\"RegionNum\":0,\"RegionCategory\":null,\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"Q4\",\"JCRName\":\"SOCIAL SCIENCES, INTERDISCIPLINARY\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Astrolabio-Nueva Epoca","FirstCategoryId":"1085","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.47386/vol1num1art5_21","RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":null,"ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q4","JCRName":"SOCIAL SCIENCES, INTERDISCIPLINARY","Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0

摘要

从行人碰撞中驾驶员和行人有限理性的理论角度出发,从1997年到2017年对墨西哥城行人的死亡率进行了研究,考虑了可归因于人或其他原因、地点(十字路口和非十字路口)、事故发生的时间、日期、月份、当地市政当局和年份。对分析估计了一个广义泊松模型。根据模型结果,分析了行人被碾压后的相对死亡风险。有三个显著的结果:由于药剂的不可归因原因,致死率和相对死亡风险增加。第二,非十字路口的死亡率较高,而非十字路口的相对死亡风险按百分比计算较低。第三,行人可归因的死亡率和相对死亡风险高于司机可归因的死亡率。这些结果可能构成描述有限理性的不确定性和信息约束的一部分。结论是,在无干扰路口过马路会增加行人的死亡率,增加死亡的相对风险。此外,还观察到与代理人行为无关的原因(行人和司机)导致更多的行人死亡。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Letalidad peatonal en Ciudad de México: análisis general desde una perspectiva de racionalidad limitada
Considering a theoretical perspective of bounded rationality of drivers and pedestrians in pedestrian collisions, a research was carried out about pedes-trian lethality rate in Mexico City considering attribu-table causes to persons or other causes, place (intersections and non-intersections of roads), time of the day, day, month, local municipalities and year of the accident from 1997 to 2017. To the analysis was estimated a Generalized Poisson Model. With the model results, the relative risk of pedestrian death after being run over was analyzed. There are three remarkable results: Lethality and relative risk of deaths increased due to non-attributable causes of the agents. Secondly, that lethality is higher in non-intersections and that the relative risk of deaths in intersections is lower in percentage terms concer-ning non-intersections. Third, that lethality and the relative risk of deaths are greater in attributable causes of pedestrians than in attributable causes of drivers. These results may constitute part of the un-certainty and information constraints that describe bounded rationality. The conclusion is that crossing pedestrians at non-interference crossings can in-crease lethality and increase death's relative risk. Also, it was observed that causes unrelated to agent’s actions (pedestrians and drivers) cause mo-re pedestrian deaths.
求助全文
通过发布文献求助,成功后即可免费获取论文全文。 去求助
来源期刊
Astrolabio-Nueva Epoca
Astrolabio-Nueva Epoca SOCIAL SCIENCES, INTERDISCIPLINARY-
自引率
0.00%
发文量
32
审稿时长
12 weeks
×
引用
GB/T 7714-2015
复制
MLA
复制
APA
复制
导出至
BibTeX EndNote RefMan NoteFirst NoteExpress
×
提示
您的信息不完整,为了账户安全,请先补充。
现在去补充
×
提示
您因"违规操作"
具体请查看互助需知
我知道了
×
提示
确定
请完成安全验证×
copy
已复制链接
快去分享给好友吧!
我知道了
右上角分享
点击右上角分享
0
联系我们:info@booksci.cn Book学术提供免费学术资源搜索服务,方便国内外学者检索中英文文献。致力于提供最便捷和优质的服务体验。 Copyright © 2023 布克学术 All rights reserved.
京ICP备2023020795号-1
ghs 京公网安备 11010802042870号
Book学术文献互助
Book学术文献互助群
群 号:481959085
Book学术官方微信