用时间序列分析法估计国内拖拉机市场份额

IF 0.7 Q3 AGRICULTURE, MULTIDISCIPLINARY

Journal of Agricultural Sciences Pub Date : 2020-12-04 DOI:10.15832/ankutbd.497236

M. Güner, Burcu Hamleci

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引用次数: 0

摘要

本研究以时间序列分析的方法检视国内拖拉机市场占有率，并根据Box-Jenkins方法建立模型，预测未来机率。这项研究计划在2010年进行，基于5个不同的国产拖拉机品牌，分别对国内拖拉机市场进行估计，并包括拖拉机的总数量。我们观察到，用时间序列分析估计拖拉机市场份额的拖拉机公司的预测价值和拖拉机总数与实际价值非常接近。

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Domestic Tractor Market Share Estimation by Time Series Analysis Method

This study is aimed to examine the domestic tractor market share with time series analysis to forecast the future probabilities with the help of the models which are created according to the Box-Jenkins method. The study was planned for year 2010, based on 5 different domestic tractor brands which are separately estimated for the domestic tractor market and included the total tractor numbers. It has been observed that the projected value of tractor companies whose market shares are estimated by time series analysis and the total tractor number are very close to their actual values.

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来源期刊

Journal of Agricultural Sciences AGRICULTURE, MULTIDISCIPLINARY-

CiteScore

1.80

自引率

0.00%

发文量