调查宏观羊群行为:来自德国上市公司的证据

IF 1.9 Q2 BUSINESS, FINANCE
Sándor Erdős, Patrik László Várkonyi
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本研究的目的是考察不同市场条件下的羊群行为,考察企业规模和股票特征对这种关系的潜在影响,并探讨羊群行为如何影响德国市场的市场价格。设计/方法论/方法作者采用了一种不依赖于理论模型的方法,从而消除了应用中固有的偏差。这种技术是基于这样一个假设,即宏观羊群效应表现为股票收益的同步性(同步)。研究结果表明,羊群效应在市场下跌时更为明显,在市场回报达到极端水平时更为明显。此外,作者还发现,与小公司相比,大公司之间存在更强的羊群效应,并且所考虑的股票特征对宏观羊群效应的程度没有影响。同时,市场信息驱动宏观羊群效应,宏观羊群效应促进了市场信息与价格的结合。该研究的结果有力地支持了方向不对称的观点,即股票对负面的宏观经济消息反应迅速,而小型股票对积极的宏观经济消息反应缓慢。此外,研究结果表明,同步的市场信息驱动宏观羊群效应,而宏观羊群效应促进了市场信息与价格的快速结合。原创性/价值据研究人员所知,这是第一次使用基于收益协同运动的羊群度量来检验主要金融市场的宏观羊群效应,而不依赖于理论模型。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Investigating macro herd behaviour: evidence from publicly traded German companies
PurposeThe purpose of this study is to examine herd behaviour under different market conditions, examine the potential impact of the firm size and stock characteristics on this relationship, and explore how herding affects market prices in the German market.Design/methodology/approachThe authors apply a method that does not rely on theoretical models, thus eliminating the biases inherent in their application. This technique is based on the assumption that macro herding manifests itself in the synchronicity (comovement) of stock returns.FindingsThe study’s findings show that herding is more pronounced in down markets and is more pronounced when market returns reach extreme levels. Additionally, the authors have found that there is stronger herding among large companies compared to small companies, and that stock characteristics considered have no effect on the degree of macro herding. Results also suggest that the contemporaneous market-wide information drives macro herding and that macro herding facilitates the incorporation of market-wide information into prices.Practical implicationsThe study’s results strongly support the idea of directional asymmetry, which holds that stocks react quickly to negative macroeconomic news while small stocks react slowly to positive macroeconomic news. Additionally, the study’s results suggest that the contemporaneous market-wide information drives macro herding and that macro herding facilitates the rapid incorporation of market-wide information into prices.Originality/valueTo the best of the researchers’ knowledge, this is the first study that examines macro herding for a major financial market using a herding measure based on the co-movement of returns that does not rely on theoretical models.
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来源期刊
Review of Behavioral Finance
Review of Behavioral Finance BUSINESS, FINANCE-
CiteScore
4.70
自引率
5.00%
发文量
44
期刊介绍: Review of Behavioral Finance publishes high quality original peer-reviewed articles in the area of behavioural finance. The RBF focus is on Behavioural Finance but with a very broad lens looking at how the behavioural attributes of the decision makers influence the financial structure of a company, investors’ portfolios, and the functioning of financial markets. High quality empirical, experimental and/or theoretical research articles as well as well executed literature review articles are considered for publication in the journal.
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