随机天气发生器(CLIGEN)非洲和南美洲20年气候参数化格网

IF 4.2 3区 地球科学 Q1 COMPUTER SCIENCE, INFORMATION SYSTEMS
A. Fullhart, G. Ponce-Campos, M. Meles, Ryan P. McGehee, G. Armendariz, P. S. Oliveira, Cristiano Das Neves Almeida, J. C. de Araújo, W. Nel, D. Goodrich
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引用次数: 0

摘要

CLIGEN是一个随机天气生成器,它根据观测到的月统计数据和其他参数创建具有统计代表性的日和次日点尺度天气变量时间序列。CLIGEN降水时间序列被用作各种风险评估建模应用的气候输入,作为观测长期高时间分辨率记录的替代方法。在此,我们查询了网格化的全球气候数据集(TerraClimate, ERA5, GPM-IMERG和GLDAS),以估计各种20年的气候统计数据,并获得了覆盖非洲和南美大陆的完整的CLIGEN输入参数集,分辨率为0.25角度。CLIGEN降水参数的估计是由全球超过10,000个地点的地面数据集提供的。地面观测提供了拟合回归模型的目标值,降低了CLIGEN降水输入参数的尺度。除了降水参数外,CLIGEN的温度、太阳辐射等参数大多是根据原始全球数据集直接计算的。对估计降水参数的交叉验证量化了以预测方式应用估计方法所产生的误差。基于所有训练数据,估计每月平均单事件累积的RMSE为2.23 mm,每月最大30分钟强度的RMSE为4.70 mm/hr。该数据集有助于探索非洲和南美洲的水文和土壤侵蚀假设。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Gridded 20-year climate parameterization of Africa and South America for a stochastic weather generator (CLIGEN)
ABSTRACT CLIGEN is a stochastic weather generator that creates statistically representative timeseries of daily and sub-daily point-scale weather variables from observed monthly statistics and other parameters. CLIGEN precipitation timeseries are used as climate input for various risk-assessment modelling applications as an alternative to observe long-term, high temporal resolution records. Here, we queried gridded global climate datasets (TerraClimate, ERA5, GPM-IMERG, and GLDAS) to estimate various 20-year climate statistics and obtain complete CLIGEN input parameter sets with coverage of the African and South American continents at 0.25 arc degree resolution. The estimation of CLIGEN precipitation parameters was informed by a ground-based dataset of >10,000 locations worldwide. The ground observations provided target values to fit regression models that downscale CLIGEN precipitation input parameters. Aside from precipitation parameters, CLIGEN’s parameters for temperature, solar radiation, etc. were in most cases directly calculated according to the original global datasets. Cross-validation for estimated precipitation parameters quantified errors that resulted from applying the estimation approach in a predictive fashion. Based on all training data, the RMSE was 2.23 mm for the estimated monthly average single-event accumulation and 4.70 mm/hr for monthly maximum 30-min intensity. This dataset facilitates exploration of hydrological and soil erosional hypotheses across Africa and South America.
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来源期刊
Big Earth Data
Big Earth Data Earth and Planetary Sciences-Computers in Earth Sciences
CiteScore
7.40
自引率
10.00%
发文量
60
审稿时长
10 weeks
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