巴兰河流域(马来西亚婆罗洲)雨量统计趋势特征

Q2 Social Sciences
H. Vijith, D. Dodge-Wan
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引用次数: 0

摘要

摘要采用Mann-Kendall (MK)和Spearman’s Rho (SR)检验方法,对婆罗洲赤道热带雨区Baram河流域(BRB) 1970-2014年的年、季、月降水趋势进行了统计分析。BRB的月平均降雨量在252 ~ 381 mm之间,其中西南季风(SWM)、东北季风(NEM)和年平均降雨量相对较高(分别为1371 mm、1632 mm和3654 mm)。lag-1自相关检验表明,降雨数据均质且不相关。MK和SR检验确定了年、季节和月降雨量的变化趋势(显著或不显著,增加或减少)。在45年期间,年、SWM和月降雨量呈减少趋势,而NEM季节则呈增加趋势。月降水量变化趋势的空间分布表现为增减振荡。同时,年、季节变化趋势呈现中下游增加、上游减少的统一分布。地形高程与降雨趋势的空间分布关系不明显;然而,有人指出,该区域的降雨分布一般受细长的山脉和较高海拔的孤立山脉控制。在1970 - 2014年期间,除少数站点外,BRB地区的降雨量呈不显著的减少趋势,以每年- 0.001%的速度减少约- 0.04 mm/年。本研究的结果和发现可用于更好地组织农业,特别是雨养农业活动和其他发展项目,包括水电项目的流域管理。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Statistical Trend Characteristics of Rainfall in the Baram River Basin (Malaysian Borneo)
Abstract Annual, seasonal, and monthly rainfall trends in the Baram River basin (BRB) in the equatorial tropical rainfall region of Borneo for 1970–2014 were statistically determined with Mann–Kendall (MK) and Spearman’s Rho (SR) test using data from 27 rain gauges. The mean monthly rainfall in the BRB varied from 252 to 381 mm with the southwest monsoon (SWM), northeast monsoons (NEM), and annual rainfall having shown comparatively high mean values (1371 mm, 1632 mm, and 3654 mm, respectively). The lag-1 autocorrelation test revealed that the rainfall data were homogenous and noncorrelated. The MK and SR tests identified varying trends (significant or nonsignificant, increasing or decreasing) in annual, seasonal, and monthly rainfall. Over the 45 year period, decreasing trends were observed in annual, the SWM, and monthly rainfalls whereas increasing trends were observed for the NEM season. The spatial distribution of rainfall trends in the BRB showed an oscillation of increasing and decreasing trends in monthly rainfall. At the same time, annual and seasonal trends showed a consolidated spread of increasing trends in the middle and lower parts and decreasing trends in the upper part of the river basin. A comparison of terrain elevation with the spatial distribution of rainfall trends did not reveal a significant relationship in the BRB; however, it was noted that rainfall distribution in the region was generally controlled by elongated mountain chains and isolated mountains of higher elevation. With the exception of a few stations, rainfall in the BRB showed a nonsignificant decreasing trend over the period from 1970 to 2014 of approximately −0.04 mm/year at the rate of −0.001 percent per year. The results and findings of the present research can be used for better organization of agriculture, especially rain-fed agricultural activities, and other developmental projects including river basin management for hydroelectric projects.
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来源期刊
Papers in Applied Geography
Papers in Applied Geography Social Sciences-Urban Studies
CiteScore
2.20
自引率
0.00%
发文量
19
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