现代化理论在制定和实施非洲发展政策中的局限性——以坦桑尼亚和马拉维为例

Lloyd George Banda
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摘要

尽管非洲在经济发展方面取得了进步,但许多国家仍然面临贫困、不平等和冲突等问题。非洲国家拥有丰富的经济资源。矛盾的是,非洲大陆在贫困中挣扎,饥荒、疾病和无知的高发就是明证(Matunhu, 2011年)。例如,在联合国开发计划署人类发展指数(HDI)排名的189个国家中,塞舌尔-第一个指数为0.801的非洲国家-在全球排名第62位(世界人口评论,2020年)。同样,包括塞舌尔在内,只有9个国家被归为高人类发展指数国家,另外还有毛里求斯、阿尔及利亚、突尼斯、博茨瓦纳、利比亚、南非、加蓬和埃及。这是54个国家中仅有的人类发展指数高于0.700的非洲国家。本文的参考点是坦桑尼亚和马拉维在人类发展指数全球排名中分别排在159和172位。这表明马拉维排名倒数第18位。除了人类发展指数,另一个与生活水平相关的指标是实际人均GDP。2019年实际人均GDP显示,大多数非洲国家排名垫底,坦桑尼亚和马拉维分别排名153和182。马拉维排名第8 (worldbank.org, 2019)。这份手稿将贫困和经济停滞归因于发展理论,因为非洲社会处理欠发达的方式受到发展理论的影响,更具体地说,是塔尔科特·帕森(Talcott Parson)高度使用的现代化发展理论。在这份手稿的明确性中,并没有责怪非洲国家采用这一理论,而是旨在挖掘现代化理论的漏洞,以暴露其不可靠的前提,使其不值得用于政策制定和规划
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Limitations of the Use of Modernization Theory in Formulating and Implementing Development Policies in Africa – The case of Tanzania and Malawi
Despite the progress that Africa has been making in terms of economic development, many countries still face issues such as poverty, inequality, and conflict. Africa houses have plentiful economic resources. Paradoxically, the continent languishes in poverty as evidenced by high prevalence of famine, diseases and ignorance (Matunhu, 2011). For example, out of 189 countries that are ranked by UNDP Human Development Index (HDI), Seychelles – the first African country with 0.801 index is ranked 62 globally (World population Review, 2020). Again, there are only 9 countries including Seychelles that are categorized within High HDI adding Mauritius, Algeria, Tunisia, Botswana, Libya, South Africa, Gabon and Egypt. These are the only African countries out of 54 with HDI above 0.700. The point of reference in this article, Tanzania and Malawi sit 159 and 172 respectively on HDI global rank. This shows that Malawi sits 18th from the bottom. Apart from HDI, another related measure of living standard is real GDP per head. 2019 real GDP per capita shows that most African countries sit at the bottom with Tanzania and Malawi on 153 and 182 respectively. Malawi is found at 8th position shy from the bottom (worldbank.org, 2019).

This manuscript attributes the poverty and economic stagnation to theories of development because the way African society deals with underdevelopment is influenced by development theories more specifically the highly used modernization theory of development by Talcott Parson. In the explicitness of this manuscript, there is no place of blame on African countries for employing the theory rather it aims to excavate the loop holes of modernization theory in order to expose its shaky premises that makes it unworthy to be used for policy formulation and programming
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