利用非对称信息结构下的两国动态随机一般均衡模型分析国际资本流向发展中国家和新兴市场国家

IF 1 Q3 ECONOMICS
Roholla Mohabatpoor, A. Googerdchian, K. Azarbayjani, Azim Nazari
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引用次数: 0

摘要

为了研究发展中国家和发达国家在稳定状态下资本流动的不同形式,本文建立了信息不对称条件下的两国动态随机一般均衡(DSGE)模型。在模拟国家时,使用了以往研究的参数。结果表明,国际风险分担可以解释卢卡斯悖论。在对称和非对称信息结构中,以稳定状态股票形式的外国净资产对发展中国家都是负的。换句话说,在稳定状态下,资本以债券的形式从发展中国家流出,以股票的形式进入这些国家。此外,在非对称信息下,本模型中股票形式的资本净流入和债券形式的资本净流出均大于对称信息结构下的资本净流出。此外,脉冲函数结果表明,两国高度相关。因此,一个国家发生的冲击会改变另一个国家的生产和消费。但冲击对本国宏观变量的影响大于其他国家。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
ANALYZING INTERNATIONAL CAPITAL FLOWS TO DEVELOPING AND EMERGING MARKET COUNTRIES USING A TWO-COUNTRY DYNAMIC STOCHASTIC GENERAL EQUILIBRIUM (DSGE) MODEL UNDER ASYMMETRIC INFORMATION STRUCTURE
In this study, in order to investigate the different forms of capital flow between developing and developed countries in the steady state, a two-country dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) model, under asymmetric information, is developed. For simulating countries, the parameters of previous studies are used. The results showed that international risk-sharing can explain the Lucas paradox. In both symmetric and asymmetric information structures, net foreign assets in the forms of stocks in steady state are negative for developing countries. In other words, in the steady state, capital exits from the developing country in the form of bonds and enters these countries in the form of stocks. Besides, net capital inflows in the form of stocks and net outflows of capital in the form of bonds in the present model under asymmetric information are larger than that under symmetric information structure. Furthermore, impulse function results show that the two countries are highly correlated. So, the occurrence of a shock in one country changes the production and consumption of another country. But the impact of the shock on macro variables in the country itself is greater than in another.
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来源期刊
CiteScore
1.60
自引率
14.30%
发文量
4
期刊介绍: The GEJ seeks to publish original and innovative research, as well as novel analysis, relating to the global economy. While its main emphasis is economic, the GEJ is a multi-disciplinary journal. The GEJ''s contents mirror the diverse interests and approaches of scholars involved with the international dimensions of business, economics, finance, history, law, marketing, management, political science, and related areas. The GEJ also welcomes scholarly contributions from officials with government agencies, international agencies, and non-governmental organizations. One over-arching theme that unites IT&FA members and gives focus to this journal is the complex globalization process, involving flows of goods and services, money, people, and information.
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