基于层次聚类方法的中国EKC存在性研究

Xinlian Zhang, Jiwen Wen, Dengshan Tian
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引用次数: 1

摘要

环境问题是经济发展过程中不可回避的问题。因此,环境库兹涅茨曲线一经提出,即成为生态经济学领域的研究中心。在文献研究和理论分析的基础上,本文认为研究方法有待进一步完善,聚类分析是一种很好的方法。本文引入层次聚类方法,利用人均GDP和各地区工业生产占GDP的比重,将中国30个地区划分为3个聚类,并利用1997 - 2007年的数据对聚类进行了分别研究。结果支持EKC的存在,但在未来的预测中存在不确定性。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Study on Existence of EKC in China Employing Hierarchical Cluster Method
Environmental problem is an unavoidable issue in the process of economic development. So immediately after Environmental Kuznets Curve (EKC) was first posed, it became the centre of the field of ecological economy. Based on the reference study and theoretical analysis, this paper makes a conclusion that the study method needs to be further polished and that cluster analysis is a good approach. This paper introduces hierarchical cluster and classifies 30 districts in China into 3 clusters by using GDP per capital and the ratio of industrial production in GDP of each district, and then studies on the clusters separately with data covering the period from 1997 to 2007. The result supports the existence of EKC but shows uncertainties in future forecasting.
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