实证会计研讨会:房间里的大象

Pub Date : 2023-05-11 DOI:10.1515/ael-2021-0067
James A. Ohlson
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引用次数: 4

摘要

会计实证研究研讨会的与会者往往认为论文中提出的结论没有说服力。这种令人失望的情况表明,研究人员采用的数据分析方法本质上支持他们正在寻找的结论。这些问题很少被讨论,因为许多参与者都依赖于相同的方法——因此他们对固有的缺陷有第一手的了解。口头禅变成了:“我们都知道在我们的研究中使用的方法不舒服的方面,所以为什么要纠缠它呢?”因为这些潜在的问题往往超出正常和可接受的范围,我把它们称为“房间里的大象”。本文描述了五个这样的案例,以说明其中无可争议的问题。总而言之,大象强调,在可预见的未来,大多数已发表论文的所谓实质性内容将被持保留态度。
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Empirical Accounting Seminars: Elephants in the Room
Abstract Attendees of accounting empirical research seminars all too often come to view the conclusions presented in the papers as non-persuasive. This disappointing situation indicates that researchers employ data analysis methodologies which inherently support conclusions they are looking for. Such issues are rarely discussed because many participants have relied on the same methodologies – thus they have firsthand knowledge about the inherent deficiencies. The mantra becomes: “We are all aware of uncomfortable aspects of the methodologies used in our research, so why dwell on it?” Because these potential questions tend to be outside normal and acceptable bounds, I term them “elephants in the room”. Five such cases are delineated to illustrate incontrovertible problems therein. To sum it up, the elephants highlight that the purported substantive contents of most published papers will be taken with a grain of salt for the foreseeable future.
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