金融和经济危机背景下的经济指标监测

IF 2.4 Q2 ECONOMICS

Contemporary Economics Pub Date : 2021-03-31 DOI:10.5709/ce.1897-9254.469

D. Sinković, Sebastian Zemla, Nataniel Zemla

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引用次数: 1

摘要

金融和经济危机以无限的间隔重复发生。就像2007/2008年的大衰退(也被称为次贷危机)一样，在它之前有一系列事件和过程，无论是经济的、政治的还是意识形态的，都促成了它的出现。根据本文提出的观察结果，本文提出了危机与各种指标的发展显著相关的解释。相关指标包括经济指标(如GDP、关键利率、债务比率)、资本市场的影响，以及当前冠状病毒危机所显示的所谓不可预见的因素或冲击。这项研究对危机和大萧条的指标进行了比较分析，目的是确定可能的趋势或模式。它采用了比较的方法，揭示了一些重要的相似之处。这种洞见可以被视为对进一步危机产生的支持。这项工作的目的是在比较的背景下为当前的危机研究做出贡献，并推进预警和危机教育领域的研究成果。

本文章由计算机程序翻译，如有差异，请以英文原文为准。

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Monitoring of Economic Indicators in the Context of Financial and Economic Crises

Financial and economic crises repeat themselves at indefinite intervals. As in the Great Recession (also known as Subprime Crisis) of 2007/2008 there was a bundle of events and processes that preceded it and contributed to its emergence, whether it be economic, political, or ideological. Based on observations presented in this paper, explanations are suggested that crises are significantly related to the development of various indicators. Relevant indicators include the impact of economic indicators (e.g., GDP, key interest rates, debt ratios), capital markets and - as the current Corona Crisis shows - supposedly unforeseen factors or shocks. The study deals with a comparative analysis of indicators regarding both crises and the Great Depression, with the aim of identifying possible trends or patterns. It uses a comparative method and reveals some significant similarities. This insight can be seen as a support for the birth of further crises. The work aims to provide a contribution to current crisis research in a comparative context and to advance findings in the field of early warning and crisis education.

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来源期刊

Contemporary Economics ECONOMICS-

CiteScore

3.70

自引率

9.50%

发文量

审稿时长

24 weeks

期刊介绍： The mission of the Contemporary Economics is to publish advanced theoretical and empirical research in economics, finance, accounting and management with the noticeable contribution and impact to the development of those disciplines and preferably with practice relevancies. All entirety of methods is desirable, including a falsification of conventional understanding, theory building through inductive or qualitative research, first empirical testing of a theory, meta-analysis with theoretical implications, constructive replication that clarifies the boundaries or range of a theory for theoretical research as well as qualitative, quantitative, field, laboratory, meta-analytic, and combination for an empirical research. This clear priority for comprehensive manuscripts containing a methodology-based theoretical and empirical research with implications and recommendations for policymaking does not exclude manuscripts entirely focused on theory or methodology. Manuscripts that raise significant, actual topics of international relevance will be highly appreciated. The interdisciplinary approach including – besides economic, financial, accounting or managerial –also other aspects, is welcomed.