通往巅峰的漫漫长路:互联网排行榜的意义、结构与稳定性

Quirin Scheitle, O. Hohlfeld, Julien Gamba, Jonas Jelten, T. Zimmermann, Stephen D. Strowes, N. Vallina-Rodriguez
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引用次数: 136

摘要

包括互联网测量、隐私和网络安全在内的广泛研究领域依赖于要分析的目标域列表;研究人员出于必要性或效率的原因使用目标列表。受欢迎的Alexa 100万个域名列表就是一个被广泛使用的例子。尽管它们在研究论文中很流行,但顶级榜单的合理性很少受到社区的质疑:人们对榜单的创建、代表性、潜在偏见、稳定性或榜单之间的重叠知之甚少。在这项研究中,我们调查了研究团体使用的顶级榜单的范围、性质和演变。我们评估了这些列表的结构和稳定性,并表明对一些列表进行排名操作是可能的。我们还重现了几项科学研究的结果,以评估使用顶级榜单的影响,具体是哪个榜单,以及榜单创建的日期。我们发现(i)与一般人群相比,排名靠前的名单通常高估了结果,通常甚至是一个数量级,并且(ii)一些排名靠前的名单具有惊人的变化特征,导致日常波动很大,导致结果不稳定。最后,我们对top list的使用提出了具体的建议,以及如何谨慎地解释基于top list的结果。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
A Long Way to the Top: Significance, Structure, and Stability of Internet Top Lists
A broad range of research areas including Internet measurement, privacy, and network security rely on lists of target domains to be analysed; researchers make use of target lists for reasons of necessity or efficiency. The popular Alexa list of one million domains is a widely used example. Despite their prevalence in research papers, the soundness of top lists has seldom been questioned by the community: little is known about the lists' creation, representativity, potential biases, stability, or overlap between lists. In this study we survey the extent, nature, and evolution of top lists used by research communities. We assess the structure and stability of these lists, and show that rank manipulation is possible for some lists. We also reproduce the results of several scientific studies to assess the impact of using a top list at all, which list specifically, and the date of list creation. We find that (i) top lists generally overestimate results compared to the general population by a significant margin, often even an order of magnitude, and (ii) some top lists have surprising change characteristics, causing high day-to-day fluctuation and leading to result instability. We conclude our paper with specific recommendations on the use of top lists, and how to interpret results based on top lists with caution.
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