俄中关系:不对称的伙伴关系?

IF 0.2 Q4 INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS
Sergei Lukonin
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引用次数: 0

摘要

由于俄罗斯与主要西方国家的关系破裂,莫斯科被迫采取非常措施重新定位其政治,贸易和经济关系。中国经济体量庞大、多元化,地理位置相近,正日益成为俄罗斯的主要合作伙伴。因此,评估俄中在贸易、金融、经济和科学领域合作的主要成果至关重要,同时确定其成就和进一步发展的可能限制。十多年来,中国一直是俄罗斯最大的贸易伙伴,主要进口矿产品,出口先进技术产品。2022年的数据显示,俄中两国在双边贸易中的地位没有改变。中国进一步巩固了其作为俄罗斯高科技设备主要供应国的地位,而俄罗斯继续是中国天然气和石油的主要来源之一。中国占俄罗斯联邦对外贸易总额的20%左右,而俄罗斯在中国对外贸易总额中的份额约为3%。尽管评估相互直接投资和累计投资具有挑战性,但可以说中国是俄罗斯最大的投资者之一,而俄罗斯在中国的直接投资和累计投资虽然可能高于官方估计,但仍然相对微不足道。俄罗斯联邦和中华人民共和国在科技领域的合作范围正在缩小,尽管在美中战略竞争加剧和俄罗斯与西方之间的危机中出现了额外的扩张动机。俄中在金融领域的合作取得了一些成功,主要是在双边贸易中扩大使用本国货币。然而,这种扩张受到反俄制裁的严重限制。在当前的国际环境下,俄中关系有深化的潜力,但这样做将需要建立各种机制,使大型中国公司能够避免二次制裁。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Russia-China Relations: An Asymmetrical Partnership?
Due to the breakdown in relations between Russia and major Western countries, Moscow is compelled to take extraordinary measures to reorient its political, trade, and economic ties. Due to its large and diversified economy and geographical proximity, China is increasingly becoming Russia's primary partner. Therefore, assessing the main outcomes of Russian-Chinese cooperation in trade, finance, economics, and science is crucial while identifying their achievements and probable limitations for further development. China has been Russia's largest trading partner for over a decade, importing mainly mineral products while exporting advanced technical products. In 2022, statistics indicate that the roles of Russia and China in bilateral trade have remained unchanged. China has further solidified its position as Russia's primary supplier of high-tech equipment, while Russia continues to be one of China's primary sources of gas and oil. China accounts for around 20% of the total foreign trade volume of the Russian Federation, while Russia's share in Chinese foreign trade turnover is about 3%. Although evaluating mutual direct and accumulated investments is challenging, it can be argued that China is among Russia's largest investors, whereas Russia's direct and accumulated investments in China, while likely higher than official estimates, are still relatively insignificant. The scope of cooperation between the Russian Federation and the People's Republic of China in the scientific and technological sectors is narrowing, although additional incentives for expansion have emerged amid the heightened USChinese strategic rivalry and the crisis between Russia and the West. Russian-Chinese cooperation in the financial sector has had some successes, primarily the expansion of the use of national currencies in bilateral trade. However, this expansion is significantly limited by anti-Russian sanctions. In the current international climate, Russian-Chinese relations have the potential to deepen, but doing so will necessitate the creation of various mechanisms that enable large Chinese companies to avoid secondary sanctions.
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来源期刊
MGIMO Review of International Relations
MGIMO Review of International Relations INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS-
CiteScore
0.60
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0.00%
发文量
46
审稿时长
12 weeks
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