德尔菲技术在国际卫生政策制定中的应用:来自sars控制项目的经验

A. Syed, L. Hjarnoe, A. Aro
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引用次数: 17

摘要

本方方学研究的总体目的是利用文献中发现的标准评估德尔菲技术作为制定SARS和SARS样疾病国际政策的工具及其在SARS控制德尔菲研究中的应用。德尔菲过程的主要弱点是:德尔菲团队中缺乏传染病专家,9分李克特量表没有明确的口头标签,缺乏有SARS经验的国家的代表,德尔菲小组组成从第1轮到第2轮到面对面会议的不连续性以及由于与另一个项目合作而延迟数据收集。结果表明,德尔菲技术在严格管理、分析和报告的情况下,是制定针对新发传染病的国际卫生政策建议的一种有价值的方法,有助于创造性地收集专家意见和建议的国际政策制定进程。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
The Delphi Technique In Developing International Health Policies: Experience From The SARSControl Project
The overall aim of this methodological study was to evaluate the Delphi technique as a tool to develop international policies for SARS and SARS-like diseases using criteria found in the literature and its application in the SARSControl Delphi study. The main weaknesses in the Delphi process were found to be -the lack of experts in infectious diseases amongst the Delphi team, the 9-point Likert scale without clear verbal labels, lack of representatives from countries with SARS experience, discontinuity in the Delphi panel composition from the 1st to the 2nd round to the face -to-face meeting and delays in data gathering due to collaboration with another project. It can be concluded that from the results that Delphi technique when rigorously administered, analyzed and reported is a valuable method to develop international health policy recommendations for emerging infectious diseases and aid the international policy development process creatively collecting expert opinions and suggestions.
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