基于支持向量机人工鱼群算法的风电短期预测模型

Yang Zheng, Li Hong
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引用次数: 6

摘要

为了提高风电功率预测的精度,解决支持向量机(SVM)模型用于风电功率预测的参数选择问题,提出了人工鱼群算法(AFSA)寻找支持向量机的最优核函数参数和误差惩罚参数。利用数值天气预报(NWP)数据进行聚类分析,建立了AFSA-SVW预测模型。仿真实验结果表明,AFSA-SVW模型在短期风电功率预测中具有比BP模型、BP模型、BP模型和PSO-SVM模型更高的精度。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
The Model of Wind Power Short-Term Prediction Based on Artificial Fish Swarm Algorithm of Support Vector Machine
In order to improve the accuracy of wind power prediction and solve the parameter selection problem of support vector machine(SVM)model for the wind power prediction, the artificial fish swarm algorithm(AFSA) is proposed to look for the support vector machine’s optimal parameter of kernel function and the parameter of error penalty. The model of AFSA-SVW is established to predict the wind power with the numerical weather forecast(NWP) data after clustering analysis. Form the result of simulation experiment, it shows that the model of AFSA-SVW has a higher accuracy than the model of BP and the model of BP and the model of BP and the model of PSO-SVM in the short-term wind power prediction.
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