Air Quality Prediction Model Based on Spatiotemporal Data Analysis and Metalearning

With the continuous improvement of people’s quality of life, air quality issues have become one of the topics of daily concern. How to achieve accurate predictions of air quality in a variety of complex situations is the key to the rapid response of local governments. This paper studies two problems: (1) how to predict the air quality of any monitoring station based on the existing weather and environmental data while considering the spatiotemporal correlation among monitoring stations and (2) how to maintain the accuracy and stability of the forecast even when the available data is severely insufficient. A prediction model combining Long Short-Term Memory networks (LSTM) and Graph Attention (GAT) mechanism is proposed to solve the first problems. A metalearning algorithm for the prediction model is proposed to solve the second problem. LSTM is used to characterize the temporal correlation of historical data and GAT is used to characterize the spatial correlation among all the monitoring stations in the target city. In the case of insufficient training data, the proposed metalearning algorithm can be used to transfer knowledge from other cities with abundant training data. Through testing on public data sets, the proposed model has obvious advantages in accuracy compared with baseline models. Combining with the metalearning algorithm, it gives a much better performance in the case of insufficient training data.