收益跳跃随机波动模型的进一步经验证据

Ana González-Urteaga
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引用次数: 8

摘要

利用有效矩量法,我们估计了一些国际股票市场指数随机波动的连续时间扩散,允许可能的回报跳跃。即使在随机波动的情况下,也需要这些跳跃来合理地描述收益分布的动态特征。尽管具有收益跳跃的随机波动模型倾向于夸大相对于样本矩的负偏度,但包含跳跃的随机波动模型强烈地提高了模型复制样本峰度的能力。这与纯随机波动模型在产生足够高的峰度方面的失败形成对比。我们的研究结果将有限的证据从美国市场扩展到几个欧洲股票市场指数。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Further empirical evidence on stochastic volatility models with jumps in returns

Using the Efficient Method of Moments we estimate a continuous time diffusion for the stochastic volatility of some international stock market indices that allows for possible jumps in returns. These jumps are needed for a sensible characterization of the dynamics of the distribution of returns, even under stochastic volatility. Although the stochastic volatility model with jumps in returns tends to exaggerate the negative skewness relative to the sample moments, the inclusion of jumps strongly improves the ability of the model to replicate sample kurtosis. This contrasts with the failure of the pure stochastic volatility model in generating high enough kurtosis. Our results extend the limited available evidence from the U.S. market to several European stock market indices.

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