利用数据科学和分析预测Covid-19的潜在影响

Monish Murale, N. Devi, AR Guru Gokul, P. Leela Rani, S. NavishVardanaa
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引用次数: 0

摘要

研究课题的主要目的是利用数据科学利用现有数据预测COVID-19的未来影响。这项研究的目标是使用数据科学和分析来准确预测实证和死亡人数。LSTM、gru和Prophet是为解决方案创建和测试的主要模型。LSTM模型是一种递归神经网络,用于预测模式不断变化的数据集。门控循环单元只有两个网关:重启和更新。先知最适合于涉及至少一年历史观察的预测任务。将上述各种模型用于covid-19数据集,以预测与covid-19相关的阳性病例数、活跃病例数和死亡人数。我们使用2021年4月和5月的数据训练模型,以展示观察到的和预期的积极事件数量之间的比较。通过应用正在使用的模型来假设未来发生的COVID-19,以便我们能够计算疾病在整个人类中潜在传播的影响,使我们自己做好准备,制定适当的计划和想法,以防止进一步传播,并使卫生系统能够适当地管理疾病并与全球大流行作斗争。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Forecasting the potential influence of Covid-19 using Data Science and Analytics
The major purpose of the study topic is to use data science to anticipate the future effect of COVID-19 using existing data. The goal of this research is to use data science and analytics to generate precise forecasts of the number of substantiations and deaths. LSTM, GRUs, and Prophet are the major models created and tested for the solution. An LSTM model is a type of Recurrent Neural Network that is used to forecast datasets with increasingly changing patterns. Gated recurrent units only has two gateways: reboot and update. The prophet is best suited for forecasting assignments involving observation swith at least a year of history. The various models discussed above were used to the covid-19 data set to forecast the number of positive cases, active cases, and deaths associated with covid-19. We trained the model using data from April and May 2021 to demonstrate a comparison between the observed and expected number of positive events. To assume the future happing of COVID-19 by applying models which are in use, so that we will be able to calculate the impact of the disease's potential spread throughout the human being, preparing our selves to make proper planning and idea to prevent further transmission and equip health systems to manage the disease properly and battle the worldwide pandemic.
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