制造业增长的决定因素:来自埃及使用ARDL方法的经验证据

M. A. Sallam
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引用次数: 0

摘要

目的:本研究调查了1970年至2019年影响埃及制造业的基本决定因素。设计/方法/方法:本研究采用世界银行数据库1970-2019年期间的年度时序数据。采用自回归分布滞后方法检验变量间的短期和长期因果关系。研究发现:实证结果表明,产业增加值与固定资本形成总额、就业人数、外商直接投资分别呈显著正相关关系,与国内生产总值、全要素生产率呈显著负相关关系。这一结果可以用其他对国内生产总值增长贡献更大的部门来解释,比如旅游业和苏伊士运河。实践启示:这些发现有助于更好地理解影响埃及制造业原创性/价值的决定因素:该研究将有助于决策者探索最具生产力的埃及制造业,并采取刺激制造业投资的经济政策,以促进经济增长和出口。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Determinants of Growth in Manufacturing Industries: Empirical Evidence from Egypt Using the ARDL Approach
: Purpose: This study investigates essential determinants affecting the Egyptian manufacturing sector from 1970 to 2019. Design/Methodology/Approach: The study employs annual time-series data spanning the 1970-2019 period from the databases of the World Bank. Autoregressive distributed lag approaches are employed to examine the short- and long-run relationship causality among variables. Findings: The empirical results reveal a positive and statistically significant relationship between industry value-added and gross fixed capital formation, number of workers, and foreign direct investment, respectively, while the relationship of industry value-added with the gross domestic product and total factor productivity is added being negative and statistically significant. This result is explained by other sectors that contribute more to growth in the domestic product, such as the tourism sector and the Suez Canal. Practical Implications: These findings provide a better understanding of the determinants affecting the Egyptian manufacturing sector Originality/Value: The study would help policymakers to explore the most productive Egyptian manufacturing industries and adopt economic policies that stimulate investment in the manufacturing sector to increase economic growth and exports.
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来源期刊
International Journal of Economics and Business Administration
International Journal of Economics and Business Administration Economics, Econometrics and Finance-Economics, Econometrics and Finance (all)
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发文量
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