基于应变的评估在支持操作和缓解决策中的应用

Banglin Liu, Yong-Yi Wang, Xiaotong Chen
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引用次数: 0

摘要

由于地面移动而确定的管道位移通常需要有关流量限制和/或现场缓解的操作决策。一些更常用的用于评估施加应变(应变需求)大小的技术,如在线惯性测量单元(ILI IMU)或管道-土壤相互作用分析,可能无法适应此类决策的时间框架。因此,缺乏量化的应变需求和应变需求限制可能会导致长期的服务中断或在不利的访问条件下进行不必要的现场工作。提出了一种基于应变的多层评估(SBA)流程,该流程旨在为确定管道位移后的操作和缓解决策提供支持。在较低的水平上,该方法利用管道定位器数据与广义的管道位移剖面相结合,以快速确定应变需求。在较高的水平上,常规的管道-土壤相互作用分析用于在获得额外的现场数据时改进应变需求估计。拉伸应变能力(TSC)是根据数据可用性使用三种可用选项之一确定的。然后,可以对当前操作条件和未来场景进行完整性评估。对于在评估时被认为是安全的场地,可以根据应变需求和应变能力之间的差额来确定未来某一点的允许移动。允许的移动可与岩土工程评估结合使用,以确定重新评估间隔,并触发进一步的实地核查或缓解活动。以阿巴拉契亚地区滑坡的SBA为例,说明了多层次过程的应用,并考虑了关键因素和一些实际限制。共用路权的两条输气管道因坡度运动而移位。由于排水量较大,管道A立即关闭,而管道B继续运行,等待完整性评估。初始较低的SBA表明两个管道在应变能力和应变需求之间都没有足够的余量。B管道因此关闭。初步评估也指出了改进评估的不同方向。管道A具有较高的TSC和需求估算值,需要对管道-土壤相互作用进行精细化分析,以减少对应变需求的潜在高估。管道B具有较低的TSC和需求估算值,在受控开挖中进行了沟内无损检测,因此TSC估算值可以使用准确的焊接特定缺陷信息进行更新。经过改进的评估表明,两条管道都有足够的安全裕度。因此,两条线路都恢复了服务,并进行了滑动修复。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Application of Strain Based Assessment in Support of Operational and Mitigation Decisions
A confirmed pipeline displacement due to ground movements often requires operational decisions regarding flow restriction and/or field mitigation. Some of the more frequently employed techniques for assessing the magnitude of the applied strain (strain demand), such as in-line inertial measurement unit (ILI IMU) or pipe-soil interaction analysis, may not be able to accommodate the timeframe for such decisions. The resulting lack of quantified strain demand and strain demand limit can potentially cause prolonged service interruptions or unnecessary field work under unfavorable access conditions. A multi-leveled strain-based assessment (SBA) process is presented that was designed to support operational and mitigative decisions after confirmed pipe displacements. At the lower level, the methodology utilizes pipe locator data in conjunction with generalized pipe displacement profiles for quick determination of strain demands. At the higher level, conventional pipe-soil interaction analysis is used to refine the strain demand estimate as additional site data become available. The tensile strain capacity (TSC) is determined using one of three available options based on data availability. Integrity assessments can then be performed for both the current operating condition and future scenarios. For sites deemed safe at the moment of assessment, allowable movements at a future point can be established based on the margins between the strain demand and strain capacity. The allowable movements can be used in conjunction with geotechnical assessment to establish re-assessment intervals and trigger further field verification or mitigation activities. An example SBA of a landslide in the Appalachian region is presented to illustrate the applications of the multi-leveled process with key considerations and some practical constraints in mind. Two gas transmission pipelines in a shared right of way were displaced after a slope movement. Pipeline A was shut-in immediately due to a larger displacement while Pipeline B remained in operation pending an integrity assessment. An initial lower-level SBA indicated neither pipeline had a sufficient margin between the strain capacity and the strain demand. Pipeline B was shut-in as a result. The initial assessment also pointed to different directions for refined assessments. Pipeline A, with the higher TSC and demand estimates, was subject to a refined pipe-soil interaction analysis to reduce the potential over-estimation of the strain demand. Pipeline B, with the lower TSC and demand estimates, was subject to in-ditch NDE in a controlled excavation, so that the TSC estimate can be updated with accurate weld-specific flaw information. The refined assessment indicated sufficient margins of safety for both pipelines. Consequently, both lines were returned to service, and a slide repair was implemented.
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