技术采用和跨越式发展:移动支付的竞赛

Pengfei Han, Zhu Wang
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引用次数: 5

摘要

用手机支付是一项改变全球支付行业的前沿创新。然而,像美国这样的发达经济体在移动支付普及方面却落后了。我们构建了一个具有连续支付创新的动态模型来解释这个谜题,它揭示了发达经济体过去在采用卡支付技术方面的成功是如何使它们在移动支付竞赛中落后的。我们的校准模型匹配了银行卡和移动支付的跨国采用模式,也解释了为什么发达国家和发展中国家喜欢不同的移动支付解决方案。基于该模型,我们进行了一些福利和政策分析的定量练习。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Technology Adoption and Leapfrogging: Racing for Mobile Payments
Paying with a mobile phone is a cutting-edge innovation transforming the global payments industry. However, some advanced economies like the U.S. are lagging behind in mobile payment adoption. We construct a dynamic model with sequential payment innovations to explain this puzzle, which uncovers how advanced economies’ past success in adopting card-payment technology holds them back in the mobile-payment race. Our calibrated model matches the cross-country adoption patterns of card and mobile payments and also explains why advanced and developing countries favor different mobile payment solutions. Based on the model, we conduct several quantitative exercises for welfare and policy analyses.
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