基于神经网络的工程投资溢出效应预测

Wenguang Fan
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引用次数: 0

摘要

工程投资是整个国民经济发展的基础投资。当项目投资者获得预期收益时,可能会对项目以外的社会组织或人产生其他利益,但投资者无法获得这些利益。溢出通常发生在经济、技术和知识三个方面。项目投资的溢出效应通常会带来明显的溢出效应,对社会有积极的效益,但也可能产生不利的因素。因此,有必要对项目投资溢出进行预测。当预测投资溢出将产生较有利的效益时,可启动相关投资资金的编制;当预测存在不利的溢出效益时,终止相关工程项目的投资。项目投资溢出效应通常有特定的规律。在总结分析历史项目投资溢出效应的基础上,得出其溢出效应的具体情况,然后结合具体算法学习规律,完成项目投资溢出效应。预测。本文的目的是为投资者和机构提供一种有价值的投资预测参考方法,结合工程市场化企业投资价值的相关理论,运用定量分析方法和定量分析方法,从而提供一种基于数据和算法的投资。溢出价值预测方法支持和促进了国家重点项目的开发建设。在完成整个预测模型的基础上,本文采用了本文研究的深度神经网络模型过程中的粒子群优化方法,并基于284个历史工程投资溢出案例的相关数据,对算法进行训练并输出,从而得到各个项目的投资溢出。预测的相对得分,并分析此溢出预测。通过所得的综合预测评分,并根据结果进行分析。提出了相应的结论和未来的发展方向,为投资者和机构投资投资方向和评估投资溢出效应提供理论指导。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Prediction of engineering investment spillover effect based on neural network
Engineering investment is the basic investment of the whole national economic development. When the project investor obtains its expected return, it may have other beneficial benefits for social organizations or people outside the subject, but the investor cannot obtain such benefits. Spillover usually occurs from three aspects: economy, technology and knowledge. The spillover effect of project investment usually brings obvious spillover effect, which has positive benefits to society, but may also produce unfavorable factors. Therefore, it is necessary to predict the project investment spillover. When it is predicted that the investment spillover will have more favorable benefits, the preparation of relevant investment funds can be started, and when it is predicted that there will be unfavorable spillover benefits, the investment in related engineering projects will be terminated. Project investment spillover effects usually have specific rules. On the basis of summarizing and analyzing historical project investment spillover effects, the specific situation of its spillover effects can be obtained, and then the rules can be learned in combination with specific algorithms to complete the project investment spillover effects. predict. The purpose of this paper is to provide investors and institutions with a valuable investment forecasting reference method, combined with the relevant theories of the investment value of engineering market-oriented enterprises, using quantitative analysis methods and quantitative analysis methods, so as to provide an investment based on data and algorithms. The spillover value forecast method supports and promotes the development and construction of national key projects. Based on the completion of the entire prediction model, this paper uses the particle swarm optimization method of the deep neural network model process studied in this paper, and based on the relevant data of 284 historical engineering investment overflow cases, the algorithm is trained and output, and then the investment overflow of each project is obtained. The relative score of the predictions, and analyzing this overflow prediction. Through the obtained comprehensive prediction score and according to the result analysis. Corresponding conclusions and future development directions are put forward to provide theoretical guidance for investors and institutions to invest in investment direction and estimate investment spillover effects.
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