内生增长模型中的货币经济和预算赤字

IF 0.5 4区 经济学 Q4 ECONOMICS
Yasuhito Tanaka
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引用次数: 1

摘要

通过一个具有两代重叠结构和消费者持有货币的内生增长模型,我们研究了在一个由企业投资内生增长的经济中预算赤字的存在。主要结果如下(1) 在不变价格条件下,预算赤字是充分就业的必要条件。(2) 如果实际预算赤字大于在不变价格条件下实现充分就业的数值,就会引发通货膨胀。(3) 如果实际预算赤字小于在不变价格下实现充分就业的必要且充分的数值,就会出现衰退。因此,平衡预算无法实现不变价格下的充分就业。我们并不假定预算赤字以后必须由预算盈余来弥补。本文是使用一个非常简单的模型对约翰-梅纳德-凯恩斯的以下论述进行分析的一个例子:"失业的产生,也就是说,是因为人们想要月亮;--当欲望的对象(即金钱)是一种无法生产且需求无法被轻易扼杀的东西时,人们就无法就业。除了说服公众绿色奶酪实际上也是同样的东西,并建立一个由公众控制的绿色奶酪工厂(即中央银行)之外,没有其他补救办法。"在本文的附录中,我们表明,如果货币和商品都是由资本和劳动生产的,那么在不变价格下,预算赤字对于充分就业来说就不是必要的。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Monetary economy and budget deficit in endogenous growth model

By an endogenous growth model with two-period overlapping generations structure and money holding of consumers, we examine the existence of budget deficit in an economy which endogenously grows by investments of firms. The main results are as follows. (1) Budget deficit is necessary for full employment under constant prices. (2) Inflation is induced if the actual budget deficit is greater than the value at which full employment is achieved under constant prices. (3) If the actual budget deficit is smaller than the value which is necessary and sufficient for full employment under constant prices, a recession occurs. Therefore, balanced budget cannot achieve full employment under constant prices. We do not assume that budget deficit must later be made up by budget surplus. This paper is an example of an analysis using a very simple model of the following statement by John Maynard Keynes.

“Unemployment develops, that is to say, because people want the moon;—men cannot be employed when the object of desire (i.e. money) is something which cannot be produced and the demand for which cannot be readily choked off. There is no remedy but to persuade the public that green cheese is practically the same thing and to have a green cheese factory (i.e. a central bank) under public control.”

In the appendix of this paper, we show that if money as well as goods are produced by capital and labor, budget deficit is not necessary for full employment under constant prices.

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