{"title":"快照:通过结构条件和QCA发现有升级倾向的国家","authors":"K. Fridrichová, A. Ilavská","doi":"10.3849/1802-7199.20.2020.02.005-018","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"This paper introduces a method of conflict escalation prediction based on long-term structural conditions, drawn from open sources, and QCA (Qualitative Comparative analysis). The combination of the two components offers a model of prediction, which is comparable to other more sophisticated and resourced systems. Moreover, it offers a more sensitive estimation of an escalation.","PeriodicalId":40204,"journal":{"name":"Obrana a Strategie-Defence & Strategy","volume":"21 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.3000,"publicationDate":"2020-12-16","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"TAKING A SNAPSHOT: Discovering Escalation Prone Countries Through Structural Conditions and QCA\",\"authors\":\"K. Fridrichová, A. Ilavská\",\"doi\":\"10.3849/1802-7199.20.2020.02.005-018\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"This paper introduces a method of conflict escalation prediction based on long-term structural conditions, drawn from open sources, and QCA (Qualitative Comparative analysis). The combination of the two components offers a model of prediction, which is comparable to other more sophisticated and resourced systems. Moreover, it offers a more sensitive estimation of an escalation.\",\"PeriodicalId\":40204,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Obrana a Strategie-Defence & Strategy\",\"volume\":\"21 1\",\"pages\":\"\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":0.3000,\"publicationDate\":\"2020-12-16\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Obrana a Strategie-Defence & Strategy\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"1085\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://doi.org/10.3849/1802-7199.20.2020.02.005-018\",\"RegionNum\":0,\"RegionCategory\":null,\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"Q4\",\"JCRName\":\"INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Obrana a Strategie-Defence & Strategy","FirstCategoryId":"1085","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.3849/1802-7199.20.2020.02.005-018","RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":null,"ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q4","JCRName":"INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS","Score":null,"Total":0}
TAKING A SNAPSHOT: Discovering Escalation Prone Countries Through Structural Conditions and QCA
This paper introduces a method of conflict escalation prediction based on long-term structural conditions, drawn from open sources, and QCA (Qualitative Comparative analysis). The combination of the two components offers a model of prediction, which is comparable to other more sophisticated and resourced systems. Moreover, it offers a more sensitive estimation of an escalation.