I. Yulita, Firman Ardiansyah, Aulia Siska, I. Suryana
{"title":"基于高斯过程和最小中位数平方线性回归的西爪哇地区新型冠状病毒COVID-19数据时间序列预测","authors":"I. Yulita, Firman Ardiansyah, Aulia Siska, I. Suryana","doi":"10.5267/j.dsl.2023.1.006","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"In 2019, the COVID-19 epidemic swept throughout the globe. The virus was first identified in Wuhan, China. By the time several months had gone by, this virus had spread to numerous locations throughout the world. Consequently, this virus has become a worldwide pandemic. Multiple efforts have been made to limit the transmission of this virus. A possible course of action is to lock down the territory. Unfortunately, this strategy wrecked the economy, worsening the terrible situation. The world health organization (WHO) would breathe a sigh of relief if there were to be no new cases. However, the government should explore employing data from the future in addition to the data it already has. Prediction of time series may be utilized for this purpose. This study indicated that the Gaussian processes method outperformed the least median squared linear regression method (LMSLR). Applying a Pearson VII-based global kernel produces MAE and RMSE values of 23.12 and 53.43, respectively.","PeriodicalId":38141,"journal":{"name":"Decision Science Letters","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":1.4000,"publicationDate":"2023-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Time series prediction of novel coronavirus COVID-19 data in west Java using Gaussian processes and least median squared linear regression\",\"authors\":\"I. Yulita, Firman Ardiansyah, Aulia Siska, I. Suryana\",\"doi\":\"10.5267/j.dsl.2023.1.006\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"In 2019, the COVID-19 epidemic swept throughout the globe. The virus was first identified in Wuhan, China. By the time several months had gone by, this virus had spread to numerous locations throughout the world. Consequently, this virus has become a worldwide pandemic. Multiple efforts have been made to limit the transmission of this virus. A possible course of action is to lock down the territory. Unfortunately, this strategy wrecked the economy, worsening the terrible situation. The world health organization (WHO) would breathe a sigh of relief if there were to be no new cases. However, the government should explore employing data from the future in addition to the data it already has. Prediction of time series may be utilized for this purpose. This study indicated that the Gaussian processes method outperformed the least median squared linear regression method (LMSLR). Applying a Pearson VII-based global kernel produces MAE and RMSE values of 23.12 and 53.43, respectively.\",\"PeriodicalId\":38141,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Decision Science Letters\",\"volume\":null,\"pages\":null},\"PeriodicalIF\":1.4000,\"publicationDate\":\"2023-01-01\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Decision Science Letters\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"1085\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://doi.org/10.5267/j.dsl.2023.1.006\",\"RegionNum\":0,\"RegionCategory\":null,\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"Q3\",\"JCRName\":\"OPERATIONS RESEARCH & MANAGEMENT SCIENCE\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Decision Science Letters","FirstCategoryId":"1085","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.5267/j.dsl.2023.1.006","RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":null,"ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q3","JCRName":"OPERATIONS RESEARCH & MANAGEMENT SCIENCE","Score":null,"Total":0}
Time series prediction of novel coronavirus COVID-19 data in west Java using Gaussian processes and least median squared linear regression
In 2019, the COVID-19 epidemic swept throughout the globe. The virus was first identified in Wuhan, China. By the time several months had gone by, this virus had spread to numerous locations throughout the world. Consequently, this virus has become a worldwide pandemic. Multiple efforts have been made to limit the transmission of this virus. A possible course of action is to lock down the territory. Unfortunately, this strategy wrecked the economy, worsening the terrible situation. The world health organization (WHO) would breathe a sigh of relief if there were to be no new cases. However, the government should explore employing data from the future in addition to the data it already has. Prediction of time series may be utilized for this purpose. This study indicated that the Gaussian processes method outperformed the least median squared linear regression method (LMSLR). Applying a Pearson VII-based global kernel produces MAE and RMSE values of 23.12 and 53.43, respectively.