同代人家庭年龄差异对消费年龄水平影响的估计

IF 7.6 1区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS
K. Kuznetsov
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To create “net consumption” in the general chronology, only households with a minimum age difference are examined.The purpose of the study. Estimation of the age level of consumption depending on the demographic characteristics of the household is little studied in modern literature. As a rule, the papers provide methods for assessing the level of children consumption. However, when creating age profiles of consumption, the age characteristics of households are not taken into account. The aim of the study is to assess the impact of the difference in the age of people living together in a household on the age profiles of consumption. Both in Russia and in the EU countries, the average difference in age between the first marriage is on average 2.5 years, and the largest difference can reach more than 30 years. From a statistical point of view, it is of practical interest to study the average per capita age level of consumption depending on the difference in the age of a married couple.Materials and methods. The source of data for the study is the Household Budget Survey (HBS) conducted by Rosstat for 2020. The paper compares age profiles of consumption created by the minimum age of the household, by the maximum, by the average, and by the classical method. In addition, the paper compares the age profiles created by the classical method, taking into account the limitation of the age difference between household members.Results. The results obtained from the 2020 HBS survey allow conclusions to be drawn about different age profiles depending on the proposed calculation methods. The results of the study showed that among households consisting of two people, almost a third of households (34.1%) have an age difference of more than 5 years. In the context of calculating one-year age profiles of consumption, a significant age difference in age will lead to a distortion of age profiles of consumption. Among households consisting of two people, the largest difference in the level of average per capita consumption between all households of two people and households of two people with an age difference of no more than 1 year is observed in early working ages (from 18 to 22 years). The introduced restrictions reduce the level of consumption by about a third at the age of 18-19 years. The introduced restrictions increase the average per capita level of consumption in the age group of 22-45 years by an average of 9.4% compared to classical calculations. The opposite situation is observed in the age group of 70-80 years old: the introduced restrictions reduce the average per capita level of consumption by 2.9%.Conclusion. 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引用次数: 1

摘要

现有的计算消费年龄水平的方法侧重于确定儿童的消费水平。与此同时,先前的研究表明,退休后的消费水平有所下降。从研究的角度来看,根据家庭成年成员之间的年龄差异来估计一年的消费年龄分布的扭曲是有实际意义的。在常见的偶发家庭中,本文比较了有两个18岁至80岁成年人的家庭的消费年龄特征。本文通过对人均消费指标的比较,估算了家庭消费年龄水平的年龄差异水平。作者引入了“净消费”的概念,在其影响下吸收了年龄敏感性。为了在一般年表中创建“净消费”,只检查年龄差异最小的家庭。研究的目的。根据家庭的人口特征来估计消费的年龄水平,在现代文献中研究得很少。通常,这些论文提供了评估儿童消费水平的方法。但是,在制作消费年龄分布图时,没有考虑到家庭的年龄特征。这项研究的目的是评估一个家庭中生活在一起的人的年龄差异对消费年龄分布的影响。无论是在俄罗斯还是在欧盟国家,初婚的平均年龄差距平均为2.5岁,最大的差距可达30岁以上。从统计学的角度来看,研究夫妻年龄差异对人均消费年龄水平的影响是有实际意义的。材料和方法。该研究的数据来源是俄罗斯国家统计局进行的2020年家庭预算调查(HBS)。本文比较了家庭最小年龄法、最大年龄法、平均年龄法和经典年龄法所产生的消费年龄分布。此外,考虑到家庭成员年龄差异的局限性,本文还比较了经典方法生成的年龄谱。从2020年哈佛商学院的调查中获得的结果可以根据提出的计算方法得出关于不同年龄特征的结论。调查结果显示,在两个人组成的家庭中,几乎三分之一(34.1%)的家庭年龄相差超过5岁。在计算1年消费年龄分布的背景下,年龄的显著年龄差异会导致消费年龄分布的扭曲。在两人组成的家庭中,所有两人组成的家庭与年龄差距不超过1岁的两人组成的家庭的人均消费水平差异最大的是在早期工作年龄(从18岁到22岁)。引入的限制措施使18-19岁人群的消费水平降低了约三分之一。与传统计算相比,引入的限制使22-45岁年龄组的人均消费水平平均提高了9.4%。在70-80岁年龄组中观察到相反的情况:引入的限制使人均消费水平降低了2.9%。根据不同的方法特点,年龄消费的计算结果也不尽相同。作者引入了“净年龄消费”一词,即家庭成员年龄相差不超过1岁的家庭。估算人均消费的建议可以应用于整个生命周期的人类消费模型。同时,一般来说,家庭特征与“模式”消费相差甚远,这就需要进一步研究根据家庭特征影响消费水平的因素。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Estimation of the Impact of the Age Difference in Households of the Same Generation on the Age Level of Consumption
The available methods for calculating the age level of consumption focus on determining the level of consumption by children. At the same time, previous studies show a decrease in the level of consumption after retirement. From a research point of view, it is of practical interest to estimate the distortion of one-year age profile of consumption depending on the age difference between the adult members of the household. Among common episodic households, the paper compares the age profiles of consumption for households with two adults aged 18 to 80 years. The paper compares indexes of average per capita consumption, and estimates the level of age difference in households for the age level of consumption. The author introduces such a concept as “net consumption”, under the influence of which sensitivity to age is absorbed. To create “net consumption” in the general chronology, only households with a minimum age difference are examined.The purpose of the study. Estimation of the age level of consumption depending on the demographic characteristics of the household is little studied in modern literature. As a rule, the papers provide methods for assessing the level of children consumption. However, when creating age profiles of consumption, the age characteristics of households are not taken into account. The aim of the study is to assess the impact of the difference in the age of people living together in a household on the age profiles of consumption. Both in Russia and in the EU countries, the average difference in age between the first marriage is on average 2.5 years, and the largest difference can reach more than 30 years. From a statistical point of view, it is of practical interest to study the average per capita age level of consumption depending on the difference in the age of a married couple.Materials and methods. The source of data for the study is the Household Budget Survey (HBS) conducted by Rosstat for 2020. The paper compares age profiles of consumption created by the minimum age of the household, by the maximum, by the average, and by the classical method. In addition, the paper compares the age profiles created by the classical method, taking into account the limitation of the age difference between household members.Results. The results obtained from the 2020 HBS survey allow conclusions to be drawn about different age profiles depending on the proposed calculation methods. The results of the study showed that among households consisting of two people, almost a third of households (34.1%) have an age difference of more than 5 years. In the context of calculating one-year age profiles of consumption, a significant age difference in age will lead to a distortion of age profiles of consumption. Among households consisting of two people, the largest difference in the level of average per capita consumption between all households of two people and households of two people with an age difference of no more than 1 year is observed in early working ages (from 18 to 22 years). The introduced restrictions reduce the level of consumption by about a third at the age of 18-19 years. The introduced restrictions increase the average per capita level of consumption in the age group of 22-45 years by an average of 9.4% compared to classical calculations. The opposite situation is observed in the age group of 70-80 years old: the introduced restrictions reduce the average per capita level of consumption by 2.9%.Conclusion. The paper draws attention to the different results of the calculation of age consumption, depending on the methodological features. The author introduces the term “net age consumption”, which is calculated for households with an age difference between household members of no more than 1 year. Suggestions for estimating per capita consumption can be applied to model human consumption over the life cycle. At the same time, as a rule, the characteristics of households are far from the “model” consumption, which necessitates further study of the factors affecting the level of consumption depending on the characteristics of the household.
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来源期刊
CiteScore
8.50
自引率
0.00%
发文量
175
期刊介绍: The Review of Economics and Statistics is a 100-year-old general journal of applied (especially quantitative) economics. Edited at the Harvard Kennedy School, the Review has published some of the most important articles in empirical economics.
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