飓风玛丽亚在美属维尔京群岛的后果:抢劫、盗窃和社区团结的时间模式

Hans M. Louis‐Charles, B. Aguirre, Jamile M. Kitnurse
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摘要

本研究调查了飓风Irma和Maria (IrMaria)在美属维尔京群岛的后果,以及媒体报道中描述的大规模抢劫和混乱与政府官员反驳这些说法的声明之间的对立。对飓风后犯罪行为的认知可以影响避难和疏散行为,也可以影响公共政策的制定。作者回顾了灾后集体行为的文献,并实施了一种混合方法来检查这些抢劫索赔的真实性。对受影响家庭、企业主和公务员的灾后采访显示,在“玛丽亚”灾后不久,当地形成了一个亲社会的环境,社区团结一致。避难行为不受抢劫恐惧的影响,但受到之前飓风假警报的影响。对FBI-UCR现有数据的回归显示,自2010年以来,整个岛屿的入室盗窃率有所下降。美属维尔京群岛警察局的一份综合报告显示,与“飓风玛丽亚”之前的财政年度相比,整个美国领土的所有犯罪都有所下降,但入室盗窃事件增加了4%。在“玛丽亚”登陆后的四个月内,类似的事件增加,随后事件急剧减少。这一发现与考虑灾后犯罪的时间阶段和模式的理论呼吁一致。考虑到联邦政府的延迟反应和本财政年度所有其他犯罪的减少,作者将盗窃事件的短暂增加归因于用词不当,并且可能是生存拨款行为,随着人道主义援助的迅速发展而减少。本研究建议灾害公共政策和恢复工作优先考虑飓风幸存者未满足的需求,并更仔细地审查美国殖民主义的限制,这些限制阻碍了灾害恢复能力。此外,本文强调了参与者在实地访谈中提出的其他问题,并强调了灾后伦理定性研究的必要性和价值。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
The Aftermath of IrMaria in the U.S. Virgin Islands: Temporal Patterns of Looting, Burglaries, and Community Solidarity
This study investigates the aftermath of Hurricanes Irma and Maria (IrMaria) in the U.S. Virgin Islands and the dichotomy between media reports depicting mass looting and chaos with statements by public officials disputing these claims. Perceptions on post-hurricane criminality can influence sheltering and evacuation behavior as well as frame public policy. The authors review the post-disaster collective behavior literature and implement a mixed-methods approach to examine the veracity of these looting claims. Post-disaster interviews with impacted households, business owners, and public servants reveal a pro-social environment with strong community solidarity in the immediate aftermath of IrMaria. Sheltering behavior was not influenced by fears of looting, but was influenced by previous hurricane false alarms. Regression of available FBI-UCR data shows the rate of burglary has declined across the islands since 2010. An aggregate-level report by the U.S. Virgin Islands Police Department shows a decline in all crimes throughout the US territory compared to the fiscal year before IrMaria, but a four percent increase in burglary incidents. The comparable increase in incidents occurred within four months of IrMaria's landfall, followed by a precipitous decrease in incidents. This finding aligns with theoretical calls to consider temporal phases and patterns of post-disaster crime. Considering the delayed federal response and the decrease in all other crimes for the fiscal year, the authors attribute the momentary increase in burglary incidents as a misnomer and are likely survival appropriating acts that decreased with burgeoning humanitarian assistance. This study recommends disaster public policy and recovery efforts prioritize the unmet needs of hurricane survivors and greater scrutiny of the constraints of US colonialism that impede disaster resilience. Additionally, the paper highlights other concerns raised by participants during fieldwork interviews and emphasizes the necessity and value of ethical post-disaster qualitative research.
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