基于统计的洪水事件自动分离

IF 3.1 Q2 GEOSCIENCES, MULTIDISCIPLINARY
Svenja Fischer, Andreas Schumann, Philipp Bühler
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引用次数: 16

摘要

洪水事件特征的分类,如峰值、流量、持续时间和基流分量,对于许多水文应用至关重要,如多元洪水统计、降雨径流模型的验证和一般的比较水文。这些特征的估计基础是由洪水事件分离形成的。它需要一个洪峰发生时间的指示器,以及洪水事件开始和结束的定义,并将总流量细分为直接流量和基流分量。然而,径流的可变性质以及决定降雨-径流关系的多种过程和影响使分离变得困难,尤其是自动化。我们提出了一种新的基于统计的洪水事件分离方法,该方法用于自动分析长系列日流量,以获得洪水事件,用于洪水统计。此外,还确定了相关的洪水诱发降雨量,从而可以估计洪水诱发降雨量和径流系数。有了一个额外的工具,可以轻松快速地手动检查分离结果,无需太多努力就可以包含专家知识。该算法被应用于德国的七个流域,涵盖了不同径流过程的高山、山区和平原流域。在敏感性分析中,对所选参数的影响进行了评估。结果表明,该算法对所有集水区都能获得合理的结果,并且只需要对基流量增加或高的长时隙进行手动调整。它只可靠地分离洪水事件,而不是所有径流事件,并且与手动分离相比,事件的估计开始和结束平均偏移不到一天。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
A statistics-based automated flood event separation

The classification of characteristics of flood events, like peak, volume, duration and baseflow components is essential for many hydrological applications such as multivariate flood statistics, the validation of rainfall-runoff models and comparative hydrology in general. The basis for estimations of these characteristics is formed by flood event separation. It requires an indicator for the time when a flood peak occurs as well as the definition of the beginning and end of a flood event and a subdivision of the total volume into direct and baseflow components. However, the variable nature of runoff and the multiple processes and impacts that determine rainfall-runoff relationships make a separation difficult, especially an automation of it. We propose a new statistics-based flood event separation that was developed to analyse long series of daily discharges automatically to obtain flood events for flood statistics. Moreover, the related flood-inducing precipitation is identified, allowing the estimation of the flood-inducing rainfall and the runoff coefficient. With an additional tool to manually check the separation results easily and quickly, expert knowledge can be included without much effort. The algorithm was applied to seven basins in Germany, covering alpine, mountainous and flatland catchments with different runoff processes. In a sensitivity analysis, the impact of chosen parameters was evaluated. The results show that the algorithm delivers reasonable results for all catchments and only needs manual adjustment for long timeslots with increasing or high baseflow. It reliably separates flood events only instead of all runoff events and the estimated beginning and end of an event was shifted in mean by less than one day compared to manual separation.

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来源期刊
Journal of Hydrology X
Journal of Hydrology X Environmental Science-Water Science and Technology
CiteScore
7.00
自引率
2.50%
发文量
20
审稿时长
25 weeks
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