{"title":"专题介绍:从多层面看拉丁美洲的选举","authors":"Jayane Dos Santos Maia, Mariana Llanos","doi":"10.1111/blar.13486","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<p>In multi-level systems with several arenas of political competition, national electoral results or political outcomes are unlikely to have a homogeneous distribution throughout the territory. Therefore, a nationalised perspective on politics has to date not led to a deep understanding of political dynamics (Došek and Freidenberg, <span>2013</span>; Snyder, <span>2001</span>). This is particularly true in Latin America, which was the first region in the world systematically to carry out decentralisation measures, devolving political authority to subnational actors and creating new arenas of competition (Falleti, <span>2010</span>). Not only have federal countries implemented a wide variety of decentralisation reforms, but unitary countries have become less unitary thanks to the cumulative effects of decentralising processes (Eaton, <span>2018</span>).</p><p>Located at the intersection of debates on agency and structure in politics, this Special Section examines different aspects of elections in Latin America from a multi-level perspective. We aim to highlight the territorial diverseness of multi-level elections as well as the heterogeneous distribution of their political outcomes using disaggregated data. Latin America offers an interesting setting for the study of elections from a multi-level perspective thanks to its outstanding cross-country diversity in territorial power and decentralisation processes. Given that the territorial heterogeneity of national and subnational elections is context-specific, a closer look at these countries is the most appropriate empirical strategy.</p><p>This Special Section makes two contributions. First and foremost, we call attention to the fact that the sole use of aggregate data to draw conclusions about electoral participation, party strength and the functioning of intergovernmental relations seems no longer sufficient to grasp political phenomena (Došek and Freidenberg, <span>2013</span>). Accordingly, the contributions of this Special Section show that the disaggregation of electoral data by constituency is a more accurate way to assess political variation across and within countries, as well as to trace change of cross-territorial political dynamics over time. Second, we show that multi-level political dynamics help to explain national political outcomes regardless of the country's territorial structure (whether federal or unitary).</p><p>The six articles included here address three different themes in five Latin American countries. The first focuses on how multi-level institutional settings impact electoral and political outcomes. Méndez de Hoyos and Arellano, as well as Jaramillo, explore the relationship between electoral institutions and turnout rates in Mexico and party fragmentation in Peru, respectively. Analysing the effect of electoral integrity on electoral participation in violent contexts in subnational elections in Mexico, Méndez de Hoyos and Arellano suggest that the effect of violence on electoral participation depends on the level of electoral integrity. They find that when strong electoral institutions become a source of confidence in the way in which elections are organised and conducted, the negative impact of violence on turnout lessens, or almost disappears. Jaramillo's article focuses on how the legislative electoral system and electoral competition contributed to a rapid and constant division in the Peruvian Congress in recent years. It argues that permissive electoral rules regarding party affiliation and the dynamics of subnational party competition diminish party discipline and further increase the incentives for parliamentary groups' fragmentation in a context of already weakly institutionalised political parties.</p><p>The second theme focuses on the relationship between geographical divisions and political cleavages. The articles by Forero-Mesa and Rodríguez-Raga on Colombia, and Santos and Moreira on Brazil discuss how geographical divisions inside countries account for the establishment of electoral strongholds and newcomers in politics. The first article analyses how Colombian senators use Twitter to target subnational constituencies. The authors find that legislators' Twitter behaviour not only mirrors their patterns of electoral support but also depends on intra-party competition. Santos and Moreira, for their part, show that the proliferation of small right-wing parties in Brazil is connected to regional economic interests in agribusiness as well as to the ‘catch all’ nature of the traditional right and centre-right parties. Thus, the increasing party fragmentation in Brazil is a consequence of structural changes in the economy, particularly in agriculture.</p><p>The third theme concerns the influence of subnational political dynamics on national political outcomes. The articles by Maia et al. as well as by Cherny tackle this topic in Brazil and Argentina, respectively. Maia et al. argue that, despite changes in party systems at the national level around President Bolsonaro's election in 2018 or incongruence between national and subnational levels in Brazil, the subnational level works as a reservoir of established parties, and in fact no real change in party systems is identified when electoral volatility is analysed. In his article, Cherny verifies the legislative influence of governors through quasi-experimental evidence from senatorial elections in Argentina. He shows that legislators who conclude their terms within the administration of their respective governors vote more cohesively with the rest of the legislators in their provincial party delegation, thus pointing to the existence of shared loyalty.</p><p>This Special Section is particularly relevant for the community of scholars who are interested in understanding Latin American elections in their complexity. It addresses electoral trajectories and political outcomes from a multi-level perspective. By analysing the contexts in the electoral districts where elections take place, we aim to gain a better understanding of territorial heterogeneity therein and of how national events are reflected and/or explained by subnational political dynamics. This will help us to better grasp political phenomena that are usually blurred by the lens of methodological nationalism.</p>","PeriodicalId":9338,"journal":{"name":"Bulletin of Latin American Research","volume":"42 5","pages":"605-606"},"PeriodicalIF":0.8000,"publicationDate":"2023-11-02","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Introduction to Special Section: Elections in Latin America from a Multi-Level Perspective\",\"authors\":\"Jayane Dos Santos Maia, Mariana Llanos\",\"doi\":\"10.1111/blar.13486\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"<p>In multi-level systems with several arenas of political competition, national electoral results or political outcomes are unlikely to have a homogeneous distribution throughout the territory. Therefore, a nationalised perspective on politics has to date not led to a deep understanding of political dynamics (Došek and Freidenberg, <span>2013</span>; Snyder, <span>2001</span>). This is particularly true in Latin America, which was the first region in the world systematically to carry out decentralisation measures, devolving political authority to subnational actors and creating new arenas of competition (Falleti, <span>2010</span>). Not only have federal countries implemented a wide variety of decentralisation reforms, but unitary countries have become less unitary thanks to the cumulative effects of decentralising processes (Eaton, <span>2018</span>).</p><p>Located at the intersection of debates on agency and structure in politics, this Special Section examines different aspects of elections in Latin America from a multi-level perspective. We aim to highlight the territorial diverseness of multi-level elections as well as the heterogeneous distribution of their political outcomes using disaggregated data. Latin America offers an interesting setting for the study of elections from a multi-level perspective thanks to its outstanding cross-country diversity in territorial power and decentralisation processes. Given that the territorial heterogeneity of national and subnational elections is context-specific, a closer look at these countries is the most appropriate empirical strategy.</p><p>This Special Section makes two contributions. First and foremost, we call attention to the fact that the sole use of aggregate data to draw conclusions about electoral participation, party strength and the functioning of intergovernmental relations seems no longer sufficient to grasp political phenomena (Došek and Freidenberg, <span>2013</span>). Accordingly, the contributions of this Special Section show that the disaggregation of electoral data by constituency is a more accurate way to assess political variation across and within countries, as well as to trace change of cross-territorial political dynamics over time. Second, we show that multi-level political dynamics help to explain national political outcomes regardless of the country's territorial structure (whether federal or unitary).</p><p>The six articles included here address three different themes in five Latin American countries. The first focuses on how multi-level institutional settings impact electoral and political outcomes. Méndez de Hoyos and Arellano, as well as Jaramillo, explore the relationship between electoral institutions and turnout rates in Mexico and party fragmentation in Peru, respectively. Analysing the effect of electoral integrity on electoral participation in violent contexts in subnational elections in Mexico, Méndez de Hoyos and Arellano suggest that the effect of violence on electoral participation depends on the level of electoral integrity. They find that when strong electoral institutions become a source of confidence in the way in which elections are organised and conducted, the negative impact of violence on turnout lessens, or almost disappears. Jaramillo's article focuses on how the legislative electoral system and electoral competition contributed to a rapid and constant division in the Peruvian Congress in recent years. It argues that permissive electoral rules regarding party affiliation and the dynamics of subnational party competition diminish party discipline and further increase the incentives for parliamentary groups' fragmentation in a context of already weakly institutionalised political parties.</p><p>The second theme focuses on the relationship between geographical divisions and political cleavages. The articles by Forero-Mesa and Rodríguez-Raga on Colombia, and Santos and Moreira on Brazil discuss how geographical divisions inside countries account for the establishment of electoral strongholds and newcomers in politics. The first article analyses how Colombian senators use Twitter to target subnational constituencies. The authors find that legislators' Twitter behaviour not only mirrors their patterns of electoral support but also depends on intra-party competition. Santos and Moreira, for their part, show that the proliferation of small right-wing parties in Brazil is connected to regional economic interests in agribusiness as well as to the ‘catch all’ nature of the traditional right and centre-right parties. Thus, the increasing party fragmentation in Brazil is a consequence of structural changes in the economy, particularly in agriculture.</p><p>The third theme concerns the influence of subnational political dynamics on national political outcomes. The articles by Maia et al. as well as by Cherny tackle this topic in Brazil and Argentina, respectively. Maia et al. argue that, despite changes in party systems at the national level around President Bolsonaro's election in 2018 or incongruence between national and subnational levels in Brazil, the subnational level works as a reservoir of established parties, and in fact no real change in party systems is identified when electoral volatility is analysed. In his article, Cherny verifies the legislative influence of governors through quasi-experimental evidence from senatorial elections in Argentina. He shows that legislators who conclude their terms within the administration of their respective governors vote more cohesively with the rest of the legislators in their provincial party delegation, thus pointing to the existence of shared loyalty.</p><p>This Special Section is particularly relevant for the community of scholars who are interested in understanding Latin American elections in their complexity. It addresses electoral trajectories and political outcomes from a multi-level perspective. By analysing the contexts in the electoral districts where elections take place, we aim to gain a better understanding of territorial heterogeneity therein and of how national events are reflected and/or explained by subnational political dynamics. 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引用次数: 0
摘要
在具有多个政治竞争领域的多层次系统中,国家选举结果或政治结果不太可能在整个领土上均匀分布。因此,迄今为止,对政治的国有化视角并没有导致对政治动态的深入理解(Došek和Freidenberg,2013;Snyder,2001年)。拉丁美洲尤其如此,它是世界上第一个系统地实施权力下放措施、将政治权力下放给国家以下行为者并创造新的竞争领域的地区(Falleti,2010)。联邦制国家不仅实施了各种各样的权力下放改革,而且由于权力下放过程的累积效应,单一制国家变得不那么单一了(Eaton,2018)。本特别部分位于政治中关于机构和结构的辩论的交叉点,从多层次的角度审视了拉丁美洲选举的不同方面。我们的目的是利用分类数据强调多层次选举的地域多样性以及其政治结果的异质性分布。拉丁美洲在领土权力和权力下放过程中具有突出的跨国多样性,为从多层次角度研究选举提供了一个有趣的环境。鉴于国家和国家以下各级选举的地域异质性是特定背景的,仔细研究这些国家是最合适的实证策略。本特科作出两项贡献。首先,我们提请注意这样一个事实,即仅仅使用汇总数据来得出关于选举参与、政党实力和政府间关系运作的结论似乎不再足以掌握政治现象(Došek和Freidenberg,2013)。因此,本特科的贡献表明,按选区分列选举数据是评估各国之间和各国内部政治变化以及追踪跨领土政治动态随时间变化的更准确方法。第二,我们表明,无论国家的领土结构(无论是联邦制还是单一制)如何,多层次的政治动态都有助于解释国家政治结果。这里包含的六篇文章涉及五个拉丁美洲国家的三个不同主题。第一个重点是多层次的体制环境如何影响选举和政治结果。Méndez de Hoyos和Arellano以及Jaramillo分别探讨了墨西哥的选举制度与投票率以及秘鲁的政党分裂之间的关系。Méndez de Hoyos和Arellano分析了墨西哥地方选举中暴力情况下选举诚信对选举参与的影响,认为暴力对选举参与影响取决于选举诚信的程度。他们发现,当强大的选举机构成为人们对选举组织和进行方式的信心来源时,暴力对投票率的负面影响就会减少,甚至几乎消失。Jaramillo的文章聚焦于立法选举制度和选举竞争如何导致近年来秘鲁国会迅速而持续的分裂。它认为,关于党派关系和国家以下政党竞争动态的宽松选举规则削弱了政党纪律,并进一步增加了在已经制度化较弱的政党背景下议会团体分裂的动机。第二个主题集中于地理分裂和政治分裂之间的关系。Forero Mesa和Rodríguez Raga关于哥伦比亚的文章,以及Santos和Moreira关于巴西的文章,讨论了国家内部的地理划分如何解释选举据点和政治新人的建立。第一篇文章分析了哥伦比亚参议员如何使用推特来针对地方选区。作者发现,立法者在推特上的行为不仅反映了他们的选举支持模式,还取决于党内竞争。桑托斯和莫雷拉则表明,巴西小型右翼政党的激增与农业综合企业的地区经济利益以及传统右翼和中右翼政党的“包罗万象”性质有关。因此,巴西日益分裂的政党是经济结构变化,特别是农业结构变化的结果。第三个主题涉及国家以下各级的政治动态对国家政治成果的影响。Maia等人和Cherny的文章分别在巴西和阿根廷讨论了这一主题。Maia等人。
Introduction to Special Section: Elections in Latin America from a Multi-Level Perspective
In multi-level systems with several arenas of political competition, national electoral results or political outcomes are unlikely to have a homogeneous distribution throughout the territory. Therefore, a nationalised perspective on politics has to date not led to a deep understanding of political dynamics (Došek and Freidenberg, 2013; Snyder, 2001). This is particularly true in Latin America, which was the first region in the world systematically to carry out decentralisation measures, devolving political authority to subnational actors and creating new arenas of competition (Falleti, 2010). Not only have federal countries implemented a wide variety of decentralisation reforms, but unitary countries have become less unitary thanks to the cumulative effects of decentralising processes (Eaton, 2018).
Located at the intersection of debates on agency and structure in politics, this Special Section examines different aspects of elections in Latin America from a multi-level perspective. We aim to highlight the territorial diverseness of multi-level elections as well as the heterogeneous distribution of their political outcomes using disaggregated data. Latin America offers an interesting setting for the study of elections from a multi-level perspective thanks to its outstanding cross-country diversity in territorial power and decentralisation processes. Given that the territorial heterogeneity of national and subnational elections is context-specific, a closer look at these countries is the most appropriate empirical strategy.
This Special Section makes two contributions. First and foremost, we call attention to the fact that the sole use of aggregate data to draw conclusions about electoral participation, party strength and the functioning of intergovernmental relations seems no longer sufficient to grasp political phenomena (Došek and Freidenberg, 2013). Accordingly, the contributions of this Special Section show that the disaggregation of electoral data by constituency is a more accurate way to assess political variation across and within countries, as well as to trace change of cross-territorial political dynamics over time. Second, we show that multi-level political dynamics help to explain national political outcomes regardless of the country's territorial structure (whether federal or unitary).
The six articles included here address three different themes in five Latin American countries. The first focuses on how multi-level institutional settings impact electoral and political outcomes. Méndez de Hoyos and Arellano, as well as Jaramillo, explore the relationship between electoral institutions and turnout rates in Mexico and party fragmentation in Peru, respectively. Analysing the effect of electoral integrity on electoral participation in violent contexts in subnational elections in Mexico, Méndez de Hoyos and Arellano suggest that the effect of violence on electoral participation depends on the level of electoral integrity. They find that when strong electoral institutions become a source of confidence in the way in which elections are organised and conducted, the negative impact of violence on turnout lessens, or almost disappears. Jaramillo's article focuses on how the legislative electoral system and electoral competition contributed to a rapid and constant division in the Peruvian Congress in recent years. It argues that permissive electoral rules regarding party affiliation and the dynamics of subnational party competition diminish party discipline and further increase the incentives for parliamentary groups' fragmentation in a context of already weakly institutionalised political parties.
The second theme focuses on the relationship between geographical divisions and political cleavages. The articles by Forero-Mesa and Rodríguez-Raga on Colombia, and Santos and Moreira on Brazil discuss how geographical divisions inside countries account for the establishment of electoral strongholds and newcomers in politics. The first article analyses how Colombian senators use Twitter to target subnational constituencies. The authors find that legislators' Twitter behaviour not only mirrors their patterns of electoral support but also depends on intra-party competition. Santos and Moreira, for their part, show that the proliferation of small right-wing parties in Brazil is connected to regional economic interests in agribusiness as well as to the ‘catch all’ nature of the traditional right and centre-right parties. Thus, the increasing party fragmentation in Brazil is a consequence of structural changes in the economy, particularly in agriculture.
The third theme concerns the influence of subnational political dynamics on national political outcomes. The articles by Maia et al. as well as by Cherny tackle this topic in Brazil and Argentina, respectively. Maia et al. argue that, despite changes in party systems at the national level around President Bolsonaro's election in 2018 or incongruence between national and subnational levels in Brazil, the subnational level works as a reservoir of established parties, and in fact no real change in party systems is identified when electoral volatility is analysed. In his article, Cherny verifies the legislative influence of governors through quasi-experimental evidence from senatorial elections in Argentina. He shows that legislators who conclude their terms within the administration of their respective governors vote more cohesively with the rest of the legislators in their provincial party delegation, thus pointing to the existence of shared loyalty.
This Special Section is particularly relevant for the community of scholars who are interested in understanding Latin American elections in their complexity. It addresses electoral trajectories and political outcomes from a multi-level perspective. By analysing the contexts in the electoral districts where elections take place, we aim to gain a better understanding of territorial heterogeneity therein and of how national events are reflected and/or explained by subnational political dynamics. This will help us to better grasp political phenomena that are usually blurred by the lens of methodological nationalism.
期刊介绍:
The Bulletin of Latin American Research publishes original research of current interest on Latin America, the Caribbean, inter-American relations and the Latin American Diaspora from all academic disciplines within the social sciences, history and cultural studies. In addition to research articles, the journal also includes a Debates section, which carries "state-of-the-art" reviews of work on particular topics by leading scholars in the field. The Bulletin also publishes a substantial section of book reviews, aiming to cover publications in English, Spanish and Portuguese, both recent works and classics of the past revisited.