Characterising hospitalisation risk for chronic obstructive pulmonary disease exacerbations: Bedside and outpatient clinic assessments of easily measured variables.

Objective: To identify the characteristics of people with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) who require hospitalisation for exacerbations.

Methods: People with COPD were recruited either during hospitalisation or from out-patient respiratory medicine clinics. Hospital admissions were tracked throughout the 5-months recruitment period. For participants who were admitted, hospital readmissions were tracked for at least 30 days following discharge. Participants were grouped as either needing; (i) no hospital admission during the study period (no admission; ø-A), (ii) one or more hospital admissions during the study period but no readmission within 30 days of discharge (no rapid readmission; ø-RR) or (iii) one or more hospital admissions with a readmission within 30 days of discharge (rapid readmission; RR).

Results: Compared with the ø-A group (n=211), factors that independently increased the risk of ø-RR (n=146) and/or RR (n=57) group membership were being aged >60 years, identifying as an Indigenous person (relative risk ratio, 95% confidence interval 7.8 [1.8 to 34.0]) and the use of a support person or community service for activities of daily living (1.5 [1.0 to 2.4]. A body mass index ≥25 kg/m² was protective.

Conclusions: Variables recorded at the bedside or in clinic provided information on hospitalisation risk.