威胁条件的变化对警察和军事指挥官对紧急和进攻行动的偏好的影响:战争行动层面的决策分析。

IF 1.1 4区 心理学 Q3 PSYCHOLOGY, MULTIDISCIPLINARY
Military Psychology Pub Date : 2025-01-02 Epub Date: 2023-11-03 DOI:10.1080/08995605.2023.2277609
Jostein Mattingsdal, Bjørn Helge Johnsen, Roar Espevik
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引用次数: 0

摘要

对102名高级警察和军事指挥官(男/女)的决策进行了模拟研究 = 88/12,平均工作年限 = 22.15)参与了对挪威的模拟混合攻击。四个2 × 进行了3次重复测量ANOVA检验,两组(警察、军队)和三个阶段(和平、战争和冲突后)作为自变量。部队态势和任务紧迫性的决策任务,以及决策绩效的主题专家评级,都是因变量。该分析以社会认知理论为理论框架,展示了群体内效应,表明从和平到战争的过渡如何在战时造成更多的进攻态势、更高的紧迫性水平和更高的表现。还发现了群体间的差异,这表明警察指挥官的紧迫感高于一般的军事指挥官。关于部队态势,只有在冲突后阶段才发现小组内部的差异,当时警察指挥官恢复到战前水平,而军事指挥官表现出的进攻态势比和平时期少。在决策绩效方面,组间无显著差异。该分析展示了关于危机管理如何受到变革影响以及负责人背景的新的实证结果。研究结果对设计机构间框架具有启示意义,这些框架可以提高警军合作的互操作性。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Effect of changing threat conditions on police and military commanders' preferences for urgent and offensive actions: An analysis of decision making at the operational level of war.

A simulation was conducted to examine the decision making of 102 high-ranking police and military commanders (male/female = 88/12, mean years of employment = 22.15) engaged in a simulated hybrid attack on Norway. Four 2 × 3 repeated-measures ANOVA tests were performed, with two groups (police, military) and three phases (peace, war, and post-conflict) as independent variables. The decision tasks of force posture and mission urgency, along with Subject Matter Expert (SME) ratings of decision-making performance, served as dependent variables. By using social cognitive theory as the theoretical framework, the analysis demonstrated within-group effects indicating how the transition from peace to war caused more offensive postures, higher urgency levels, and increased performance in wartime. Between-group differences were also found, illustrating that police commanders had higher levels of urgency than military commanders in general. Regarding force posture, within-group differences were only found in the post-conflict phase, when police commanders returned to pre-war levels, while military commanders showed less offensive postures than in peacetime. No significant between-group differences were found in decision-making performance. The analysis demonstrated new empirical findings about how crisis management is impacted by change and the backgrounds of those in charge. The findings have implications for designing interagency frameworks that improve police-military interoperability in collaborative efforts.

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来源期刊
Military Psychology
Military Psychology PSYCHOLOGY, MULTIDISCIPLINARY-
CiteScore
2.30
自引率
18.20%
发文量
80
期刊介绍: Military Psychology is the quarterly journal of Division 19 (Society for Military Psychology) of the American Psychological Association. The journal seeks to facilitate the scientific development of military psychology by encouraging communication between researchers and practitioners. The domain of military psychology is the conduct of research or practice of psychological principles within a military environment. The journal publishes behavioral science research articles having military applications in the areas of clinical and health psychology, training and human factors, manpower and personnel, social and organizational systems, and testing and measurement.
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