贝尔格莱德证券交易所的发展与塞尔维亚经济增长之间的相互依存关系

D. Stojković, Nemanja Lojanica, M. Štimac
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引用次数: 2

摘要

本研究的目的是通过实证检验来确定贝尔格莱德证券交易所发展与塞尔维亚经济增长之间的相互依存关系。本文作者使用了贝尔格莱德证券交易所市值和股票成交量的季度数据,以及2003年至2018年塞尔维亚国内生产总值的季度数据。在检验长期变量相互关系时,采用了约翰森(1991)协整检验,而因果关系分析则采用了格兰杰因果检验。迄今为止的测试结果主要表明,资本市场的发展对经济增长具有重要意义,这意味着流动性强的证券交易所可以作为经济活动长期增长的可靠指标。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Interdependence between the Belgrade Stock Exchange development and Serbia's economic growth
The goal of this research is to conduct an empirical test to determine the interdependence between the Belgrade Stock Exchange development and Serbia’s economic growth. The authors of this paper used the quarterly data about the market capitalization and turnover of shares achieved at the Belgrade Stock Exchange, as well as the quarterly data about Serbia’s gross domestic product between 2003 and 2018. During the testing of the long-term variable interconnection the Johansen (1991) co-integration test was used, whereas the Granger causality test was used for the causality analysis. The test results to date primarily show that the development of a capital market is of significance for economic growth, which implies that a liquid stock exchange may serve as a reliable indicator of a long-term growth of economic activity.
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