波斯尼亚和黑塞哥维那不良贷款的宏观经济和具体银行决定因素

Zorana Agić, Z. Jeremic
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引用次数: 7

摘要

这项研究的目的是查明影响波斯尼亚-黑塞哥维那(波黑)银行部门不良贷款率的宏观经济因素和具体银行因素。作者假设三个宏观经济因素和五个具体的银行因素影响贷款组合的质量。汇总数据来自波黑中央银行、波黑统计局和波黑劳动和就业局,并通过描述性统计、相关和回归分析对2006年第一季度至2016年第四季度末的数据进行分析。实证结果表明,不良贷款与失业率、以消费物价增长率衡量的通货膨胀率、资产收益率和信贷增长率之间存在相关性,而实际国内生产总值增长率、资本充足率、净资产收益率和主动利率对不良贷款的影响不具有统计学意义。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Macroeconomic and specific banking determinants of nonperforming loans in Bosnia and Herzegovina
The aim of the research is to identify the macroeconomic and specific banking factors affecting the rate of nonperforming loans in the banking sector of Bosnia and Herzegovina (BiH). The authors assume that the three macroeconomic and five specific banking factors influence the quality of the loan portfolio. Aggregate data were used, which are taken from the Central Bank of BiH, Agency for Statistics of BiH and Labour and Employment Agency of BiH, and analyzed by descriptive statistics, correlation and regression analysis in the period from the first quarter of 2006 to the end of the fourth quarter of 2016. The empirical results show that there is a correlation between nonperforming loans and unemployment rate, inflation rates measured by the growth rate of consumer prices, return on assets and credit growth rates, while the impact of the growth rate of real gross domestic product, capital adequacy ratio, return on equity and active interest rates is not statistically significant.
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