小农适应极端气候的有效性:来自赞比亚南部省的证据

Kiru Sichoongwe, Jinxia Wang
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引用次数: 0

摘要

气候极端是影响赞比亚社会经济发展的最紧迫问题之一。本文评估了适应极端气候的影响,以及缓解极端气候对粮食生产负面影响的适应策略的有效性。共有270名小农接受了抽样调查。采用描述性分析和内生切换回归模型。根据这项研究的发现,适应性农场和非适应性农场有许多不同的特征。此外,根据内生转换回归模型的估计,拥有收音机、种子数量和耕作经验与适应性呈正相关。此外,结果表明,适配器是“更好的生产者”比非适配器。根据调查结果,提出了一些政策建议。在起草政策时,有必要(a)利用农民和地方机构的专门知识和经验,(b)考虑农民的资产,(c)增加农民获得更负担得起的农业投入物的机会。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Effectiveness of smallholder farmers' adaptation to climate extremes: Evidence from the Southern Province of Zambia
Climate extreme is one of Zambia's most pressing issues impacting socioeconomic development. This paper assessed the impact of adaptation to climate extremes, as well as the effectiveness of adaptation strategies to mitigate the negative impact on food production. A total of 270 smallholder farmers were sampled. Descriptive analysis and the endogenous switching regression model were applied. According to the study's findings, adapted farms and non-adapted farms have a number of different characteristics. Furthermore, based on the estimates of the endogenous switching regression model, owning a radio, seed quantity and farming experience had a positive relationship with adaptation. Also, the results showed that adaptors are 'better producers' than non-adaptors. In light of the findings, some policy recommendations were made. When drafting policies, it is necessary to (a) draw on the expertise and experience of farmers and local institutions, (b) consider the assets of farmers and (c) enhance farmers' access to more affordable agricultural inputs.
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