拉丁美洲和加勒比地区的旅游业:一个小组VAR证据

Turizam Pub Date : 2022-01-01 DOI:10.5937/turizam26-30985
Matheus Belucio, J. Fuinhas, Liberato Banks, J. Antunes, Fábio Fernandes
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引用次数: 0

摘要

在20世纪后期,全球化的发展对旅游业至关重要。旅游业通常被理解为对几个经济体至关重要。在本研究中,通过由拉丁美洲和加勒比地区26个国家组成的面板向量自回归分析,发现旅游国内生产总值、国内生产总值、KOF全球化指数分解(社会、经济和政治)、公共投资、汇率和人口之间存在关系。实证分析的时间范围包括1995年至2015年的年度信息。结果表明,社会全球化与公共投资之间存在双向关系。此外,证据显示了其他重要的结果:国内生产总值和旅游国内生产总值,旅游和公共投资的国内生产总值,以及国内生产总值和公共投资。实证结果有助于拉丁美洲和加勒比地区旅游业的讨论,为公共和私人代理人的决策提供理论依据。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
The tourism in Latin America and Caribbean: A Panel VAR evidence
In the late twentieth century, the increase in globalization was vital for the tourism industry. The tourism industry is commonly understood as essential for several economies. In this study, through a Panel Vector Autoregressive composed of 26 countries in Latin America and the Caribbean, there was a relationship between the Gross Domestic Product of tourism, the Gross Domestic Product, the decomposition of the KOF Globalization Index (social, economic, and political), public investment, the exchange rate, and the population. The time horizon for the empirical analysis comprises annual information from 1995 to 2015. The results show a bidirectional relationship between social globalization and public investment. In addition, evidence shows other important results: Gross Domestic Product and Gross Domestic Product of tourism, Gross Domestic Product of tourism and public investment, and Gross Domestic Product and public investment. The empirical results contribute to the discussions on tourism in Latin America and the Caribbean, providing a theoretical basis that contributes to the deci sion-making of public and private agents.
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