面对气候变化影响的沼泽稻农风险分析与策略(以印度尼西亚加里曼丹省南部为例)。

Y. Ferrianta, M. Makki
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引用次数: 3

摘要

气候变化的影响不仅影响生产方面,而且影响家庭收入和其他社会经济方面。本研究旨在确定稻农在决策中的家庭经济行为与气候变化生产风险的关系,并确定农户面对气候变化的适应策略。采用的方法是利用方差系数进行生产风险分析。结果表明:潮区农户经营水稻行为具有中性风险行为;这意味着,如果水稻种植存在风险或风险复发的可能性,那么决策者(农民)仍然不会减少或扩大其业务规模。沼泽地农民采取的适应战略包括短期、中期和长期战略。农场层面适应能力的提高应通过有计划的适应来实现,计划的适应由政府主导,协同发展,依靠农民社区传统的自主适应。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Risk analysis and strategy of rice farmers in swampland in the face of climate change impact (case in south Kalimantan province-Indonesia).
The impact of climate change does not only affect the production aspects but also on household income and other socioeconomic aspects. The research aims to determine the household economic behaviors of rice farmers in decision- making with relation to the production risks due to climate change and determine the farmer’s adaptation strategies in the face of climate change. The approach taken is the production risk analysis using the coefficient variance. The result shows that the farmers’ behavior to manage rice farming in the tidal area has neutral risk behavior. This means that if there is a risk or possibility of risk recurrence towards rice farming, thus the decision maker (farmer) still does not reduce or enlarge the scale of their business. Adaptation strategies adopted by farmers in swampland consists of short, medium and long term strategies. The improved adaptive capacity on farm level should be through planned adaptation whose development is conducted by the government to be synergistic and rely on autonomous adaptation that has been a tradition in the farmers community.
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