半鞅的跳转测试

IF 0.1 Q4 BUSINESS, FINANCE
Liang Hong, J. Zou
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引用次数: 1

摘要

本文旨在向精算界介绍跳转检验。在精算学中,半鞅被广泛应用于利率、期权、可变年金和股票挂钩年金的模型中。这些模型通常毫无理由地假设,标的资产过程遵循一个连续的随机过程,如几何布朗运动,因为市场数据有时会讲述不同的故事。在连续模型和跳跃模型之间进行选择,不仅对保险产品的定价很重要,而且对实施其他售后风险管理措施(如动态负债对冲)也至关重要。跳跃测试允许精算师严格测试基础资产过程是否有跳跃,这是模型选择的第一个关键步骤。因此,进行测试的能力应属于在这一领域工作的每一位专家和从业人员的技能。在本文中,我们回顾了几种主要的跳跃测试,描述了它们的优点和缺点,并提出了实现它们的建议。我们还使用真实数据实施了一些测试,使从业者能够在他们的工作中应用这些测试。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Jump tests for semimartingales
This paper aims to introduce jump tests to the actuarial community. In actuarial science, semimartingales are extensively used in the models for interest rates, options, variable annuities and equity-linked annuities. Those models usually assume without justification that the underlying asset process follows a continuous stochastic process such as a geometric Brownian motion, for the market data sometimes tell a different story. Choosing between a continuous model and a model with jumps is not only important for pricing of insurance products but also crucial for implementing other post-sales risk management measures such as dynamic liability hedging. A test for jumps allows actuaries to rigorously test whether the underlying asset process has jumps, which is the first critical step in model selection. The ability to conduct the test should thus belong to the repertoire of every expert and practitioner working in this field. In this paper, we review several major tests for jumps, describe their advantages and disadvantages, and offer suggestions for their implementation. We also implement several tests using real data, enabling practitioners to apply these tests in their work.
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来源期刊
South African Actuarial Journal
South African Actuarial Journal BUSINESS, FINANCE-
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